22.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
Referee: A. Merlos
Atletico Tucuman
Match Timeline
Instituto Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Leonel Di Plácido
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
13'
Nicolás Laméndola
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
49'
Matías Gallardo
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
57'
Leonel Vega
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
58'
J. E. Cordoba Mosquera ↔ J. Lazaro
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
72'
M. Tissera ↔ F. Suarez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
75'
A. Luna ↔ J. Acevedo
Instituto Cordoba
VAR
78'
Nicolás Laméndola
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
80'
M. Brondo ↔ R. Ruiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
81'
G. Abregu ↔ J. Mendez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
83'
N. Lamendola ↔ A. Canelo
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
85'
Ignacio Méndez
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
88'
R. Tesuri ↔ G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.4%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Tucuman Win 34.2%
Draw 8.5%
Instituto Cordoba Win 57.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Tucuman1.05
Instituto Cordoba1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
11
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
7
3.48
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 24 matches
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 23 matches
Atletico Tucuman Statistic Instituto Cordoba
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 3
9 Losses 8
28 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 20
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
11 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 6
3.48 Shots On Goal 4.52
11.81 Total Shots 13.71
5.14 Corners 5.14
46% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Instituto Cordoba. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Tucuman expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Instituto Cordoba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Instituto Cordoba having the stronger overall control. Instituto Cordoba look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman sit 13 with 14 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Leandro Díaz (2 goals), Franco Nicola (1 goals), Renzo Tesuri (1 goals), with creative support from Clever Ferreira (1 assists), Luis Ingolotti (1 assists), Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Instituto Cordoba Analysis

Instituto Cordoba are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:17 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matías Tissera (2 goals), Jeremías Lázaro (1 goals), Giuliano Cerato (1 goals), with creative support from Gastón Lodico (2 assists), Jeremías Lázaro (1 assists), Diego Alejandro Sosa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 4 times, Instituto Cordoba won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Atletico Tucuman's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1 / Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Tucuman wins 4, draws 6, Instituto Cordoba wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase