ARGENTINA COPA ARGENTINA
12.08.2026 22:15
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Referee: F. Tello
Atletico Tucuman
Match Timeline
Independiente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
C. D. Ferreira Namandu
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
23'
M. Gutierrez ↔ M. Abaldo
Independiente
30'
S. Montiel · Assist: S. Montiel
Independiente
31'
N. Lamendola · Assist: I. Galvan
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
46'
M. Perez Curci ↔ L. Millan
Independiente
49'
M. Brondo · Assist: N. Lamendola
Atletico Tucuman
54'
N. Franco · Assist: N. Lamendola
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
67'
M. Meza ↔ F. Tempone
Independiente
🔄
68'
G. Avalos ↔ L. Cabral
Independiente
70'
N. Lamendola · Assist: M. Brondo
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
73'
M. Brondo ↔ A. Canelo
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
73'
L. Vega ↔ K. Ortiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
74'
J. Fedorco ↔ J. Arrayago
Independiente
🟨
76'
J. Arrayago
Independiente
🔄
81'
R. Tesuri ↔ J. Fernandez
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
81'
L. Godoy ↔ G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
86'
N. Franco ↔ F. Pimienta
Atletico Tucuman
🟨
88'
K. Lomonaco
Independiente

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.4%
-
BTTS No
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Tucuman Win 37.7%
Draw 5.9%
Independiente Win 56.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Tucuman1.1
Independiente1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Independiente Independiente
WLDWL
34 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
11
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 22 matches
Independiente Independiente 23 matches
Atletico Tucuman Statistic Independiente
6 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
9 Losses 7
23 Goals For 34
23 Goals Against 27
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4
11.95 Total Shots 12.86
5.1 Corners 5.86
45.7% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Tucuman won 7 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Atletico Tucuman's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1 / Independiente 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Tucuman wins 7, draws 2, Independiente wins 6