URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Torque Win 30.8%
Draw 10.1%
Wanderers Win 59.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Torque1.37
Wanderers1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WWDLW
35 GF / 31 GA
Wanderers Wanderers
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 24 matches
Wanderers Wanderers 25 matches
Atletico Torque Statistic Wanderers
11 Wins 11
5 Draws 6
8 Losses 8
35 Goals For 31
31 Goals Against 31
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
15 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Torque expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wanderers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Wanderers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wanderers.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 38 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 34:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Wanderers Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 38 points from 23 games, Wanderers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:25, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 6 times, Wanderers won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Torque 4-2-3-1 / Wanderers 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Torque wins 6, draws 4, Wanderers wins 5
Last matches: Atletico Torque
15.08.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
1
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
L
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
Last matches: Wanderers
15.08.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
5
L
31.07.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
2
1
W
11.07.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
2
0
W
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
H2H: Atletico Torque vs Wanderers
31.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
L
22.02.26
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
W
12.10.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
01.09.23
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
1
L
16.07.23
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
20.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
1
L
09.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
1
0
W
27.06.22
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
1
0
L
14.05.22
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
09.10.21
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
1
W
11.06.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
W
05.03.21
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
8
W
09.09.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
W
26.08.18
H2H
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
1
0
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
31.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
L
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Miramar
3
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
4
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
19.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico Torque
31.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
L
12.10.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
20.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
1
L
09.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
1
0
W
11.06.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
W
09.09.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
W
Last matches: Wanderers
09.08.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
5
L
31.07.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Central Espanol
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
0
3
L
12.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
2
D
06.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Miramar
0
3
L
01.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H away: Wanderers
31.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
W
12.10.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
20.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
1
W
09.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
1
0
L
11.06.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
L
09.09.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
1
L

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 4 5 37:20 17 46
W W W D W
2 24 13 6 5 40:24 16 45
W D D L D
3 24 12 9 3 31:19 12 45
W D W L D
4 24 11 6 7 30:26 4 39
D W W W W
5 23 11 5 7 34:27 7 38
W L W W L
6 24 10 6 8 29:28 1 36
L W D L D
7 24 9 8 7 30:23 7 35
W W D W L
8 24 11 2 11 35:33 2 35
L L W L D
9 24 9 7 8 33:27 6 34
L L D L D
10 24 8 6 10 25:26 -1 30
D D L W D
11 24 6 9 9 19:25 -6 27
L L W L D
12 24 7 5 12 21:31 -10 26
D W L L D
13 24 7 4 13 17:35 -18 25
W W L W W
14 24 6 6 12 26:35 -9 24
L D D W L
15 24 4 11 9 22:31 -9 23
D L D L D
16 24 4 4 16 18:37 -19 16
L L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)