Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Torque
14 matches
Progreso
14 matches
| Atletico Torque | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 8 |
| 20 | Goals For | 11 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Progreso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Progreso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Atletico Torque arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 20 points compared to Progreso in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Progreso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Torque expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Progreso in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Progreso having the stronger overall control.
So far, Atletico Torque have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Salomón Rodríguez (6 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), F. Pizzichillo (2 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Progreso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Copelotti (2 goals), D. Sanchez (1 goals), F. Fernandez (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 7 times, Progreso won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Lineups
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Miramar
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Rentistas
Atletico Torque
Tacuarembo
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
CA River Plate
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
SUD America
Progreso
Atenas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 38 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Torque
Home
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Away
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|