URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario
Referee: G. Tejera
Atletico Torque
Match Timeline
Danubio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
65'
R. Lecchini ↔ N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
65'
John Kleber ↔ E. Femia
Danubio
🔄
68'
M. Brasil ↔ M. Jourdan
Danubio
77'
S. Rodriguez
Atletico Torque
81'
B. Azambuja · Assist: B. Azambuja
Danubio
🔄
82'
E. Cabrera ↔ A. Velazquez
Danubio
🔄
82'
J. Trasante ↔ E. Figueroa
Danubio
🔄
82'
L. Andrade ↔ E. Busquets
Atletico Torque
🟥
85'
F. Balatti
Danubio
🔄
89'
P. Siles ↔ J. Taran
Atletico Torque

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
1.78
BTTS Yes
78.9%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.09
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Atletico Torque Win 56.1%
Draw 17.5%
Danubio Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Torque1.48
Danubio1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Danubio Danubio
WLDWL
20 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
15
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 21 matches
Danubio Danubio 20 matches
Atletico Torque Statistic Danubio
9 Wins 4
5 Draws 9
7 Losses 7
33 Goals For 20
29 Goals Against 27
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
15 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Torque arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 32 points compared to Danubio in 13 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 32 points from 20 games, Atletico Torque bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 32:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Danubio Analysis

Danubio are currently 13 in the standings with 21 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 3 times, Danubio won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Torque 4-3-3 / Danubio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Torque wins 3, draws 4, Danubio wins 7

Lineups

Atletico Torque
Formation
Danubio
Franco Torgnascioli
Franco Torgnascioli
Eduardo Agüero
Eduardo Agüero
Kevin Silva
Kevin Silva
Gary Kagelmacher
Gary Kagelmacher
Facundo Silvera
Facundo Silvera
Franco Pizzichillo
Franco Pizzichillo
Pablo Siles
Pablo Siles
Diogo Guzmán
Diogo Guzmán
Luka Andrade
Luka Andrade
Salomón Rodríguez
Salomón Rodríguez
Ramiro Lecchini
Ramiro Lecchini
Mauro Goicoechea
Mauro Goicoechea
Facundo Balatti
Facundo Balatti
Mauro Brasil
Mauro Brasil
Emiliano Velázquez
Emiliano Velázquez
Tomás Cavanagh
Tomás Cavanagh
Benjamin Azambuja Vargas
🎯
Benjamin Azambuja Vargas
Joaquín Trasante
Joaquín Trasante
Iván Rossi
Iván Rossi
Mateo Peralta
Mateo Peralta
Enzo Cabrera
Enzo Cabrera
John Kleber
John Kleber
Atletico Torque 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Franco Torgnascioli
G
17
Eduardo Agüero
D
3
Kevin Silva
D
24
Gary Kagelmacher
D
26
Facundo Silvera
D
5
Franco Pizzichillo
M
8
Pablo Siles
↓ 89'
M
19
Diogo Guzmán
M
7
Luka Andrade
↓ 82'
F
9
Salomón Rodríguez
⚽ 77'
F
18
Ramiro Lecchini
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
11
Nahuel Da Silva
↑ 65'
F
15
Ezequiel Busquets
↑ 82'
D
27
José Tarán
↑ 89'
D
13
Gastón Rodríguez
G
4
Valentino Wurth
D
30
Juan Quintana
M
23
Lucas Duré
M
Danubio 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Mauro Goicoechea
G
18
Facundo Balatti
🟥 85'
D
19
Mauro Brasil
↓ 68'
D
2
Emiliano Velázquez
D
31
Tomás Cavanagh
D
90
Benjamin Azambuja Vargas
⚽ 81' 🎯 81'
F
38
Joaquín Trasante
↓ 82'
M
16
Iván Rossi
M
10
Mateo Peralta
M
7
Enzo Cabrera
↓ 82'
F
29
John Kleber
F
Substitutes
28
Luis Femia
↑ 65'
M
29
Martín Jourdan
↑ 68'
D
17
Alexander Velazquez
↑ 82'
M
15
Emiliano Figueroa
↑ 82'
M
32
Kevin Martínez
G
14
Bautista Pereira
D
6
Leandro Sosa
D
22
Axel Montaña
M
5
Juan Millán
M
26
Diego Piriz
F
Last matches: Atletico Torque
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
Last matches: Danubio
11.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
H2H: Atletico Torque vs Danubio
24.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
28.09.25
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
2
0
L
07.06.25
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
3
2
L
30.03.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
W
16.06.23
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
0
L
05.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
19.08.22
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
3
2
L
22.03.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
07.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
4
W
14.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
2
L
14.10.18
H2H
Danubio
Atletico Torque
3
1
L
15.04.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Miramar
3
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
4
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
19.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Rentistas
0
5
L
01.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Tacuarembo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Torque
24.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
05.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
22.03.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
2
L
15.04.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
3
L
Last matches: Danubio
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
17.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
L
18.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
24.11.21
Seg
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
10.11.21
Seg
Danubio
Rocha
2
1
W
H2H away: Danubio
24.07.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
05.02.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
22.03.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
2
W
15.04.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 3.63
Home 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.33
Draw 2.23
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.83
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 2.75 2.41
Over 3.5 3.76
Under 1.5 3.23
Under 1.75 2.86
Under 2.0 2.46
Under 2.25 2.01
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.5 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.75
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.20
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.46
Draw 3.50
Home 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.04
Home 2.34
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.40
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.82
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.0 3.12
Over 3.25 3.24
Over 3.5 3.99
Over 3.75 4.47
Over 4.0 9.00
Over 4.25 6.65
Over 4.5 11.10
Over 5.5 14.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 0.75 7.80
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 4.02
Under 1.5 3.29
Under 1.75 2.68
Under 2.0 2.35
Under 2.25 1.92
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.27
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 3.45
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.18
Home 2.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.50
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.23
Over 3.0 2.75
Over 3.25 3.05
Over 3.5 3.35
Over 3.75 4.20
Over 4.0 5.75
Over 4.25 6.10
Over 4.5 6.40
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 4 2 23:14 9 31
L D D D D
2 15 9 2 4 24:16 8 29
L D W W D
3 15 8 4 3 26:16 10 28
L D W L L
4 15 8 3 4 23:16 7 27
W D W L W
5 15 7 3 5 23:22 1 24
L D D W L
6 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
W W L W W
7 15 7 1 7 26:21 5 22
L D W L W
8 15 5 6 4 13:11 2 21
L D D D L
9 15 5 5 5 20:18 2 20
W L D W D
10 15 6 2 7 16:21 -5 20
W W D W D
11 15 4 6 5 17:21 -4 18
L D D D L
12 15 5 2 8 16:19 -3 17
W D D W W
13 15 5 2 8 14:20 -6 17
L D D L L
14 15 4 3 8 17:22 -5 15
W L D L L
15 15 2 4 9 12:23 -11 10
W L L W L
16 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
W W L L W