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BRAZIL › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Atletico Paranaense
FT
3 - 1
Vitoria
Arena da Baixada
Referee: B. Arleu
Atletico Paranaense
Match Timeline
Vitoria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Luiz Gustavo
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
12'
Edenilson
Vitoria
⚽
22'
Rene · Assist: Matheuzinho
Vitoria
⚽
34'
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
43'
Emmanuel Martínez
Vitoria
🔄
46'
Edenilson ↔ Ronald Lopes
Vitoria
🟨
55'
Gastón Benavídez
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
63'
Joao Cruz ↔ Dudu Kogitzki
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
68'
Arthur Dias
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
74'
Rene ↔ Fabricio
Vitoria
🔄
74'
Matheuzinho ↔ D. Tarzia
Vitoria
🔄
79'
J. Portilla ↔ B. Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
79'
Erick ↔ Marinho
Vitoria
🔄
80'
Bruninho ↔ Chiqueti
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
87'
Zé Vitor
Vitoria
🟨
90+5'
Bruno Zapelli
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
90'
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
90+5'
Lucas Silva
Vitoria
🔄
90'
S. Mendoza ↔ Renan Peixoto
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
90+4'
Ze Vitor ↔ Lucas Silva
Vitoria
⚽
90'
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
⚽
90'
Luiz Gustavo · Assist: G. Benavidez
Atletico Paranaense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Paranaense Win 89.2%
Draw 0%
Vitoria Win 10.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Paranaense1.36
Vitoria1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
WWDLW
17 GF / 14 GA
Vitoria Vitoria
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
4.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 12 matches
Vitoria Vitoria 11 matches
Atletico Paranaense Statistic Vitoria
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
17 Goals For 11
14 Goals Against 14
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 4
10.83 Total Shots 11.09
4.5 Corners 3.91
48.2% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 8 times, Vitoria won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:22 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1 / Vitoria 4-3-3
Missing players: Atletico Paranaense 1, Vitoria 12
H2H summary: Atletico Paranaense wins 8, draws 2, Vitoria wins 5
Stats
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria Vitoria
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
370 Total passes 244
315 Passes accurate 181
3.64 expected_goals 0.65
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Paranaense
Formation
Vitoria
Santos
Santos
C. Teran
C. Teran
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias
L. Esquivel
L. Esquivel
G. Benavidez
🎯
G. Benavidez
J. Portilla
↓
J. Portilla
Luiz Gustavo
⚽
Luiz Gustavo
S. Mendoza
↓
S. Mendoza
Bruninho
↓
Bruninho
Joao Cruz
↓
Joao Cruz
K. Viveros
⚽ 2
K. Viveros
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo
Edenilson
↓
Edenilson
Caca
Caca
Luan Candido
Luan Candido
Ramon
Ramon
Ze Vitor
↓
Ze Vitor
Caique Goncalves
Caique Goncalves
Emmanuel Martinez
Emmanuel Martinez
Erick
↓
Erick
Rene
⚽ ↓
Rene
Matheuzinho
🎯 ↓
Matheuzinho
Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
23
Santos
🟨 90'
G
22
C. Teran
D
4
Arthur Dias
🟨 68'
D
37
L. Esquivel
D
29
G. Benavidez
🎯 90' 🟨 55'
M
27
J. Portilla
↓ 79'
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
⚽ 90' 🟨 8'
M
7
S. Mendoza
↓ 90'
M
48
Bruninho
↓ 80'
F
8
Joao Cruz
↓ 63'
9
K. Viveros
⚽ 34' ⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
1
Mycael
G
6
Leo Derik
11
Isaac
47
Chiqueti
↑ 80'
M
5
Felipinho
D
3
Leo
D
33
F. Aguirre
D
10
B. Zapelli
↑ 79' 🟨 90+5'
M
70
Renan Peixoto
↑ 90'
F
2
Gilberto Junior
53
Dudu Kogitzki
↑ 63'
M
21
Leozinho
F
Vitoria 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
26
Edenilson
↓ 46' 🟨 12'
D
25
Caca
D
36
Luan Candido
D
13
Ramon
D
88
Ze Vitor
↓ 90+4' 🟨 87'
M
95
Caique Goncalves
M
6
Emmanuel Martinez
🟨 43'
M
33
Erick
↓ 79'
F
91
Rene
⚽ 22' ↓ 74'
F
10
Matheuzinho
🎯 22' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
71
Yuri
G
11
Osvaldo
F
7
Marinho
↑ 79'
F
17
A. Cantalapiedra
F
8
Ronald Lopes
↑ 46'
M
20
Lucas Silva
↑ 90+4' 🟨 90+5'
F
18
Kauan
D
23
Fabricio
↑ 74'
F
12
D. Tarzia
↑ 74'
D
62
Pablo
M
41
Wendell Santos
M
55
Ze Breno
M
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
30.07.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
0
D
25.07.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
2
0
W
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
09.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
3
L
29.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
2
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
2
3
L
25.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
1
L
Last matches: Vitoria
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H: Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
2
L
30.06.24
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
W
17.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
W
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
0
W
19.10.17
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
2
3
W
25.06.17
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
1
W
06.11.16
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
L
17.07.16
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
1
D
14.09.14
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
2
0
W
27.04.14
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
2
2
D
29.09.13
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
5
L
09.06.13
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
L
20.10.12
H2H
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
W
21.07.12
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
25.07.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
29.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
2
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
19.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Paranaense
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
W
02.11.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
2
L
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
0
W
25.06.17
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
1
W
17.07.16
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
1
D
14.09.14
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
2
0
W
29.09.13
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
5
L
21.07.12
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0
1
L
Last matches: Vitoria
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
H2H away: Vitoria
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
L
02.11.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
2
W
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
0
L
25.06.17
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
4
1
L
17.07.16
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
1
D
14.09.14
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
2
0
L
29.09.13
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
5
W
21.07.12
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
0
1
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras
21 14 5 2 38:16 22 47
W L W W W
2
Flamengo
20 11 6 3 37:18 19 39
D D W W L
3
Atletico Paranaense Home
21 11 4 6 28:19 9 37
D W W W W
4
Fluminense
21 9 7 5 30:25 5 34
D D D D L
5
Bahia
21 8 8 5 29:25 4 32
D D D W W
6
RB Bragantino
20 9 4 7 26:20 6 31
D D W W W
7
Cruzeiro
21 8 6 7 27:30 -3 30
W L W D W
8
Botafogo
20 8 5 7 34:32 2 29
W D W L D
9
Corinthians
21 7 8 6 22:20 2 29
D D W W W
10
Atletico-MG
20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
W D W L W
11
Coritiba
21 7 6 8 25:28 -3 27
L D L L W
12
Sao Paulo
20 7 5 8 25:23 2 26
D L L D L
13
Vitoria Away
21 7 5 9 22:31 -9 26
L L D W L
14
Mirassol
20 6 5 9 23:27 -4 23
W D W L W
15
Santos
20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
D L W L L
16
Internacional
21 5 7 9 23:27 -4 22
D L L L L
17
Gremio
20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
D L L W D
18
Vasco DA Gama
20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
D L L L L
19
Remo
21 5 6 10 24:34 -10 21
L W L W L
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10
?
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation

Missing Players

Atletico Paranaense 1 missing
-
Jadson
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Vitoria 12 missing
-
Claudinho
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Dudu
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
Edu
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Fintelman
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
R. Ramos
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Jamerson
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
H. Pedro
Missing Fixture Hand Injury
OUT
-
Renato Kayzer
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Riccieli
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Camutanga
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
Nathan Mendes
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Neris
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT