Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.8%
|
1.89 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
7.50 |
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
17 matches
Mirassol
22 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 23 | Goals For | 25 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4.45 |
| 12.18 | Total Shots | 13.14 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 5.36 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Paranaense expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mirassol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Paranaense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 24 points compared to Mirassol in 19 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Placed 5 with 24 points from 16 outings, Atletico Paranaense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Viveros (8 goals), S. Mendoza (5 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from G. Benavidez (5 assists), L. Esquivel (3 assists), Joao Cruz (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Mirassol sit 19 with 13 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Igor Formiga (3 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), Nathan Fogaça (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), C. Cuesta (1 assists), Carlos Eduardo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 1 times, Mirassol won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Atletico Paranaense
2
2
4
7
7
1
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Coritiba
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Remo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 |
Mirassol
Away
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|