Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Paranaense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Paranaense1.26
Bahia1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Paranaense
WWDLW
25 GF / 21 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
33 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
10
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
12
4.83
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
20 matches
Bahia
22 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 25 | Goals For | 33 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.83 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 12.22 | Total Shots | 13.75 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 5.95 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 56.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 7 times, Bahia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Paranaense wins 7, draws 3, Bahia wins 5
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
11.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
09.07.26
Fri
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
3
L
29.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
2
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
2
3
L
25.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
H2H: Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
01.04.26
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.07.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
3
L
12.11.23
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
16.07.23
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
W
12.07.22
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
1
W
22.06.22
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
W
09.10.21
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
2
L
25.06.21
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
L
20.01.21
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
L
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
W
05.10.19
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
W
12.05.19
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
W
29.04.18
H2H
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico Paranaense
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
29.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
2
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
19.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Paranaense
10.07.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
3
L
16.07.23
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
W
12.07.22
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
1
W
09.10.21
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
2
L
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
W
12.05.19
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
W
02.09.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
10.07.24
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
3
W
16.07.23
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
L
12.07.22
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
1
L
09.10.21
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
0
2
W
27.09.20
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
L
12.05.19
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
0
L
02.09.18
H2H
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
2
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B