CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
TD Place Stadium
Referee: R. Villanueva
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
M. Godinho
HFX Wanderers FC
31'
J. Villal · Assist: M. Aparicio
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
45+1'
K. Sow
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
46'
D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
46'
C. Kachwele ↔ V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
66'
J. Assi ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
66'
J. Bahamboula ↔ M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
74'
E. Garcia ↔ E. Myklebust
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
79'
B. Tabla ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
79'
G. Antinoro ↔ W. Timoteo
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
81'
F. Linder ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
86'
S. Zitman ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
86'
M. Godinho ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
89'
M. Arilla
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
90+4'
J. Villal
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 6%
Draw 18%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 76%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa0.94
HFX Wanderers FC1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
4 GF / 17 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
1.43
Shots on Goal
1.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 7 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 6 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
4 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 9
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
1.43 Shots On Goal 1.8
3.86 Total Shots 5.2
1.43 Corners 2.2
41.6% Ball Possession 28.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HFX Wanderers FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and HFX Wanderers FC in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. Atlético Ottawa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 4 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 4:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Garcia (1 goals), K. Habibullah (1 goals), Tyr Walker (1 goals), with creative support from K. Habibullah (1 assists), D. Aguilar (1 assists), Manny Aparicio (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 5 points after 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Johnston (3 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), K. Sow (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3 / HFX Wanderers FC 3-5-2
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 8, draws 4, HFX Wanderers FC wins 3

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
HFX Wanderers FC
T. Crampton
T. Crampton
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
A. S. Abatneh N.
A. S. Abatneh N.
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
J. Assi
J. Assi
M. Aparicio
🎯
M. Aparicio
J. Castro
J. Castro
G. Antinoro
G. Antinoro
J. Villal
J. Villal
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
K. Sow
K. Sow
F. Linder
F. Linder
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
R. Telfer
R. Telfer
J. Bahamboula
J. Bahamboula
C. Kachwele
C. Kachwele
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Crampton
18
R. Mbomio
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
5
D. Aguilar
🟨 46'
14
J. Assi
↓ 66'
10
M. Aparicio
🎯 31'
2
J. Castro
11
G. Antinoro
↓ 79'
8
J. Villal
⚽ 31' 🟨 90+4'
7
E. Garcia
↓ 74'
13
B. Tabla
↓ 79'
Substitutes
88
R. Papuaga
9
E. Myklebust
↑ 74'
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 66'
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 79'
27
W. Timoteo
↑ 79'
28
L. Cloutier
37
T. Arnaud
HFX Wanderers FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
21
J. Alphonse
16
K. Sow
🟨 45+1'
2
F. Linder
↓ 81'
28
M. Godinho
↓ 86' 🟨 28'
8
I. Johnston
22
S. Zitman
↓ 86'
6
L. Callegari
7
R. Telfer
14
J. Bahamboula
↓ 66'
24
C. Kachwele
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
9
V. Akinwale
↑ 46'
23
M. Arilla
↑ 66' 🟨 89'
5
L. Olguin
18
A. Rampersad
↑ 86'
20
T. Ciccarelli
↑ 86'
17
F. Troisi
↑ 81'
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
0
D
24.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H: Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
24.08.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.04.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
18.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
2
L
23.07.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
L
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
08.08.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
26.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Ottawa
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
18.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
H2H away: HFX Wanderers FC
08.08.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
18.07.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
29.09.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
03.06.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 23:9 14 35
L D W W W
2 16 10 4 2 31:9 22 34
D W W L D
3 16 8 2 6 25:16 9 26
W W W W W
4 16 7 3 6 25:29 -4 24
W L W D L
5 15 5 3 7 22:27 -5 18
D W L W L
6 17 4 5 8 21:26 -5 17
L D L D W
7 14 3 5 6 16:31 -15 14
D L L D L
8 15 0 4 11 17:33 -16 4
D L L L L