26.09.2026 21:00
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 62.1%
Draw 5%
Chapecoense-sc Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.91
Chapecoense-sc1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
68 GF / 36 GA
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WLDWL
31 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
16
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
16
6.24
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 36 matches
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 28 matches
Atletico Nacional Statistic Chapecoense-sc
24 Wins 4
1 Draws 9
11 Losses 15
68 Goals For 31
36 Goals Against 54
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
16 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 25
24 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 2
10 Failed To Score 8
6.24 Shots On Goal 3.44
16.52 Total Shots 12.67
5.52 Corners 3.89
58.2% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1