ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Aurinegro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.3%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 47.6%
Draw 21.7%
Defensores De Belgrano Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.92
Defensores De Belgrano0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WLDWL
15 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 23 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 22 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic Defensores De Belgrano
5 Wins 5
10 Draws 10
8 Losses 7
22 Goals For 15
27 Goals Against 19
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
11 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 0
9 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Defensores De Belgrano. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores De Belgrano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Defensores De Belgrano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

With 22 points from 22 games and a place of 14, Atletico Mitre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats with a 20:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 24 points from 21 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 14:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 2 times, Defensores De Belgrano won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 2, draws 3, Defensores De Belgrano wins 2
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
Last matches: Defensores De Belgrano
01.08.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
All Boys
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
All Boys
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
San Miguel
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
San Telmo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Acassuso
0
1
L
18.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Central Norte
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Racing Cordoba
0
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Almirante Brown
2
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Los Andes
1
0
W
H2H: Atletico Mitre vs Defensores De Belgrano
21.03.26
H2H
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
07.09.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
2
L
06.05.25
H2H
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico Mitre
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
0
W
02.05.22
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
07.10.18
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
H2H at home: Atletico Mitre
07.09.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
0
W
02.05.22
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
07.10.18
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
Last matches: Defensores De Belgrano
26.07.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
All Boys
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
San Miguel
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Acassuso
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Racing Cordoba
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Almirante Brown
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Los Andes
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
19.05.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
11.05.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
30.04.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Talleres Remedios
1
3
L
17.04.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Tristan Suarez
0
2
L
06.04.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
San Miguel
0
0
D
25.03.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Español
1
0
W
13.03.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Colegiales
3
1
W
04.03.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
17.02.18
Pri
Defensores De Belgrano
UAI Urquiza
0
2
L
H2H away: Defensores De Belgrano
07.09.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
0
L
02.05.22
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
07.10.18
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation