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SPAIN › LA LIGA
24.09.2025 19:30
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
⚽
15'
J. Alvarez · Assist: M. Llorente
Atletico Madrid
⚽
45'
P. Chavarria · Assist: U. Lopez
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
50'
Koke
Atletico Madrid
🟨
54'
Iván Balliu
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
56'
N. Molina ↔ G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🔄
56'
Koke ↔ N. Gonzalez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
66'
O. Valentin ↔ P. Ciss
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
66'
F. Perez ↔ A. Garcia
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
66'
Alemao ↔ Pacha
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
73'
J. Galan ↔ G. Raspadori
Atletico Madrid
⚽
77'
A. Garcia · Assist: I. Palazon
Rayo Vallecano
VAR
78'
Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
79'
A. Griezmann ↔ M. Ruggeri
Atletico Madrid
🔄
79'
C. Gallagher ↔ M. Pubill
Atletico Madrid
🔄
79'
U. Lopez ↔ P. Diaz
Rayo Vallecano
⚽
80'
J. Alvarez
Atletico Madrid
🟨
86'
Marcos Llorente
Atletico Madrid
🔄
86'
I. Palazon ↔ G. Gumbau
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
87'
Josep Chavarría
Rayo Vallecano
⚽
88'
J. Alvarez · Assist: G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🟨
90+6'
Robin Le Normand
Atletico Madrid
🟨
90+7'
Andrei Rațiu
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
90+2'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.14
Rayo Vallecano1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 8 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
5
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
5
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 6 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 7 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Rayo Vallecano
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
8 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 6
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 5.14
12.17 Total Shots 14.14
6.5 Corners 6.71
56.7% Ball Possession 60.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 12 times, Rayo Vallecano won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:10 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 5-3-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-4-2
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 12, draws 2, Rayo Vallecano wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2