Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.7%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 76.4%
Draw 0%
Athletic Club Win 23.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.75
Athletic Club1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
102 GF / 68 GA
Athletic Club
WLDWL
50 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
31
BTTS Yes
22
33
Over 2.5
21
5.37
Shots on Goal
4.24
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
52 matches
Athletic Club
45 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 21 |
| 102 | Goals For | 50 |
| 68 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 31 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 43 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 33 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 5.37 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 13.42 | Total Shots | 13.53 |
| 5.94 | Corners | 5.49 |
| 52.2% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 7 times, Athletic Club won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 4, Athletic Club 3
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 7, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 7
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2