Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.4%
|
1.57 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.1%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
6.50 |
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Grau
16 matches
UCV Moquegua
17 matches
| Atletico Grau | Statistic | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 11 | Goals For | 17 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 0.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 3.56 |
| 11.13 | Total Shots | 10.13 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 3.25 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 39.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV Moquegua. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 3-4-3 and UCV Moquegua in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UCV Moquegua having the stronger overall control.
Atletico Grau sit 18 with 13 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Ruidiaz (3 goals), Isaac Camargo (2 goals), A. Vasquez (1 goals), with creative support from C. Neira (2 assists), Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Edgar Lastre (5 goals), J. Collazos (4 goals), C. Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Ricardo Chipao (2 assists), N. Chavez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Grau
9
1
3
3
4
4
Lineups
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
ADT
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
Away
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 |
Atletico Grau
Home
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|