22.04.2026 20:15
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: J. Cartagena
Atletico Grau
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Raul Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
⚽
34'
J. Ataupillco
Atletico Grau
🟨
44'
Luis Abram
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
G. Cazonatti ↔ I. Wisdom
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
M. Castro ↔ L. Iberico
Sporting Cristal
🟨
51'
Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
⚽
52'
R. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🔄
55'
M. Tavara ↔ F. Vizeu
Sporting Cristal
🟨
56'
Christian Neira
Atletico Grau
⚽
57'
F. Vizeu · Assist: S. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
65'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
66'
J. Ataupillco ↔ F. Oncoy
Atletico Grau
🔄
66'
S. Torres ↔ N. Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🔄
67'
C. Neira ↔ D. Rodriguez
Atletico Grau
⚽
67'
N. Delgadillo · Assist: R. Guarderas
Atletico Grau
VAR
69'
Nicolás Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🟨
70'
Nicolás Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🟨
78'
Lucas Acevedo
Atletico Grau
🔄
78'
R. Ruidiaz ↔ I. Camargo
Atletico Grau
🔄
80'
I. Avila ↔ C. Benavente
Sporting Cristal
🟨
81'
Yoshimar Yotún
Sporting Cristal
🔄
88'
P. de la Cruz ↔ C. Vásquez
Atletico Grau
⚽
90'
I. Camargo · Assist: E. Rodas
Atletico Grau

Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Grau Win 23.2%
Draw 19%
Sporting Cristal Win 57.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau0.82
Sporting Cristal1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WWDLW
5 GF / 12 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
3
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 10 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 matches
Atletico Grau Statistic Sporting Cristal
1 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
5 Goals For 28
12 Goals Against 22
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
3 BTTS Yes 12
5 Over 1.5 14
3 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.69
11 Total Shots 14.38
4.8 Corners 5.5
50.1% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting Cristal's more proactive style and Atletico Grau's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sporting Cristal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 14 points while Atletico Grau sit 17 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sporting Cristal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau sit 17 with 7 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Emiliano Franco (1 goals), Isaac Camargo (1 goals), P. Alvarez (1 goals), with creative support from C. Neira (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 14 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Iberico (4 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), I. Avila (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (5 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), M. Castro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Grau 4-4-2 / Sporting Cristal 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico Grau wins 3, draws 2, Sporting Cristal wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 26 12 4 10 45:39 6 40
L W L L D
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 10 5 12 37:44 -7 35
W W W W L
12 27 9 7 11 42:52 -10 34
W W D W W
13 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 27 6 7 14 29:42 -13 25
W L L L L
17 27 6 7 14 24:41 -17 25
L L L L W
18 27 4 8 15 32:50 -18 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2