PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: J. Cartagena
Atletico Grau
Match Timeline
Cienciano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Rotceh Aguilar
Cienciano
🟨
13'
Sebastian Cavero
Cienciano
25'
A. Vasquez · Assist: Y. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🟨
35'
José Ataupillco
Atletico Grau
🟨
40'
Claudio Nunez
Cienciano
🟨
45+3'
Diego Rodriguez
Atletico Grau
🔄
46'
G. Aguirre ↔ G. Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
46'
S. Cavero ↔ A. Hohberg
Cienciano
🔄
46'
R. Aguilar ↔ C. Souza Espana
Cienciano
🔄
46'
R. Salazar ↔ C. Garces
Cienciano
🔄
46'
M. Martinich ↔ A. Robles
Cienciano
🟨
61'
Gerson Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
62'
Y. Ruidiaz ↔ R. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🔄
62'
A. Vasquez ↔ N. Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
63'
M. Succar
Cienciano
🔄
75'
P. de la Cruz ↔ E. Franco
Atletico Grau
🔄
76'
C. Neira ↔ I. Camargo
Atletico Grau
🔄
88'
A. de la Cruz ↔ E. Correa
Atletico Grau
VAR
90+5'
Raúl Ruidíaz
Atletico Grau
🟨
90+9'
Carlos Garcés
Cienciano
90'
A. Hohberg · Assist: C. Garces
Cienciano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Grau Win 32.3%
Draw 11.3%
Cienciano Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau0.9
Cienciano1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
WLDWL
28 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
2
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
4
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
6.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 13 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 14 matches
Atletico Grau Statistic Cienciano
2 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 3
9 Goals For 28
15 Goals Against 17
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
4 BTTS Yes 10
6 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 6.15
11.62 Total Shots 15.15
4.85 Corners 5.46
47.7% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cienciano's more proactive style and Atletico Grau's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Cienciano in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. Atletico Grau have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 26 points while Atletico Grau sit 17 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Isaac Camargo (2 goals), R. Ruidiaz (2 goals), Emiliano Franco (1 goals), with creative support from C. Neira (2 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), Rafael Guarderas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cienciano Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 26 points from 13 games, Cienciano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 27:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Garces (9 goals), A. Hohberg (8 goals), N. Bandiera (6 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (2 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 3 times, Cienciano won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Grau 5-3-2 / Cienciano 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Grau wins 3, draws 3, Cienciano wins 8
Stats
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
Cienciano Cienciano
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 13
8 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Goalkeeper Saves 5
322 Total passes 300
235 Passes accurate 216
0.70 expected_goals 3.06
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Grau
Formation
Cienciano
P. Alvarez
P. Alvarez
D. Rodriguez
D. Rodriguez
R. Tapia
R. Tapia
J. Ataupillco
J. Ataupillco
E. Rodas
E. Rodas
A. de la Cruz
A. de la Cruz
P. de la Cruz
P. de la Cruz
R. Guarderas
R. Guarderas
C. Neira
C. Neira
A. Vasquez
A. Vasquez
Y. Ruidiaz
🎯
Y. Ruidiaz
G. Falcon
G. Falcon
C. Nunez
C. Nunez
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
A. Yovera
A. Yovera
S. Cavero
S. Cavero
R. Salazar
R. Salazar
H. Caparo
H. Caparo
G. Aguirre
G. Aguirre
M. Martinich
M. Martinich
N. Bandiera
N. Bandiera
M. Succar
M. Succar
Atletico Grau 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
P. Alvarez
G
4
D. Rodriguez
🟨 45+3'
D
27
R. Tapia
D
16
J. Ataupillco
🟨 35'
D
6
E. Rodas
D
66
A. de la Cruz
↓ 88'
M
10
P. de la Cruz
↓ 75'
M
5
R. Guarderas
M
22
C. Neira
↓ 76'
M
20
A. Vasquez
⚽ 25' ↓ 62'
M
24
Y. Ruidiaz
🎯 25' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
33
A. Calderon
G
29
E. Franco
↑ 75'
M
13
F. Oncoy
M
25
G. E. Alfaro Martinez
D
9
R. Ruidiaz
↑ 62'
F
11
N. Delgadillo
↑ 62'
F
3
I. Tapia
D
19
I. Camargo
↑ 76'
F
21
E. Correa
↑ 88'
M
Cienciano 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
G. Falcon
G
13
C. Nunez
🟨 40'
D
26
R. Aguilar
↓ 46' 🟨 2'
D
27
A. Yovera
D
14
S. Cavero
↓ 46' 🟨 13'
D
25
R. Salazar
↓ 46'
M
39
H. Caparo
M
8
G. Aguirre
↓ 46'
M
16
M. Martinich
↓ 46'
M
11
N. Bandiera
F
19
M. Succar
⚽ 63'
F
Substitutes
31
I. Espinoza Gomes
G
17
R. Sandoval
F
88
G. Barreto
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
M
10
A. Hohberg
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
M
7
C. Souza Espana
↑ 46'
M
18
D. La Torre
F
21
C. Garces
🎯 90' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+9'
F
29
A. Robles
↑ 46'
M
37
A. Rojas
M
Last matches: Atletico Grau
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
Last matches: Cienciano
18.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
H2H: Atletico Grau vs Cienciano
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
24.08.25
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
17.08.24
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
30.09.23
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
0
L
21.05.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
W
20.08.22
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
03.04.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
20.11.20
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
0
0
D
18.08.20
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
3
0
L
26.10.19
H2H
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
4
0
L
04.08.19
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
2
1
W
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Grau
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico Grau
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
05.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
W
03.04.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
0
0
D
04.08.19
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
2
1
W
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
W
Last matches: Cienciano
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
H2H away: Cienciano
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
W
05.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
1
D
21.05.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
L
03.04.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
W
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
0
0
D
04.08.19
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
2
1
L
29.07.18
H2H
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
4
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 4 1 32:9 23 43
W D W W D
2 19 11 4 4 27:24 3 37
L W D L W
3 19 10 5 4 28:17 11 35
W W W D L
4 18 10 3 5 35:25 10 33
L W D L W
5 18 9 4 5 32:21 11 31
W W D W D
6 19 9 3 7 26:27 -1 30
L W W W L
7 18 7 5 6 21:19 2 26
L W D W W
8 19 6 6 7 24:23 1 24
W L L D W
9 18 6 4 8 29:30 -1 22
W L W L D
10 18 5 7 6 20:22 -2 22
D L D L D
11 18 5 5 8 23:23 0 20
L L L W D
12 18 5 5 8 15:20 -5 20
L W D W D
13 18 5 4 9 15:19 -4 19
W W L W L
14 18 5 4 9 19:26 -7 19
D L D L D
15 18 4 6 8 25:30 -5 18
D D D W W
16 18 4 5 9 24:42 -18 17
D L D L L
17 18 4 4 10 22:33 -11 16
L L D L W
18 18 4 6 8 22:29 -7 13
L D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)