BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Carneiro
Atlético Alagoinhas
Match Timeline
CSE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
J. Risuenho
Atlético Alagoinhas
80'
Thiago Magno
CSE
88'
Anderson Montanha
CSE

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
61.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Alagoinhas Win 22.5%
Draw 61.8%
CSE Win 15.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Alagoinhas1.3
CSE1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas
WWDLW
1 GF / 5 GA
CSE CSE
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 2 matches
CSE CSE 2 matches
Atlético Alagoinhas Statistic CSE
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
1 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 5
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSE having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CSE. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atlético Alagoinhas Analysis

Atlético Alagoinhas are currently 6 in the standings with 0 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 1:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Argolo (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

CSE Analysis

CSE arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 0 points after 2 matches. The record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 2:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Michel Douglas (1 goals), Wanderson Lima (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Alagoinhas won 1 times, CSE won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Atlético Alagoinhas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.3%)
H2H summary: Atlético Alagoinhas wins 1, draws 1, CSE wins 2
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H: Atlético Alagoinhas vs CSE
24.05.26
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
05.06.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
2
1
W
28.05.22
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
L
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Alagoinhas
19.04.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
05.06.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
2
1
W
Last matches: CSE
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H away: CSE
19.04.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
W
05.06.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5
CSE Away
10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)