BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Carneiro
Atlético Alagoinhas
Match Timeline
CSA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Ronaldo Mendes
CSA
9'
Gustavo
CSA
48'
Lucas Silva
CSA
68'
Gustavo
CSA
70'
Rian Santana
CSA
77'
Camacho
CSA
83'
K. Chaves Silva
Atlético Alagoinhas
88'
Rian Santana
CSA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 3.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.3%
1.11
BTTS Yes
54.1%
3.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.27
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.40
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Atlético Alagoinhas Win 19.6%
Draw 5.1%
CSA Win 75.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Alagoinhas0.58
CSA1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas
WWDLW
4 GF / 13 GA
CSA CSA
WLDWL
18 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.44
Average Goals Scored
2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
3
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 9 matches
CSA CSA 9 matches
Atlético Alagoinhas Statistic CSA
1 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 1
4 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 7
0.44 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
3 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CSA's more proactive style and Atlético Alagoinhas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward CSA. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CSA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 18 points while Atlético Alagoinhas sit 6 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSA having the stronger overall control.

Atlético Alagoinhas Analysis

Atlético Alagoinhas sit 6 with 5 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 4:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Guilherme Queiroz (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CSA Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 18 points from 9 games, CSA bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 18:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Rian Santana (7 goals), Ailton Santos (2 goals), Dudu Figueiredo (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Alagoinhas won 1 times, CSA won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Atlético Alagoinhas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Atlético Alagoinhas wins 1, draws 1, CSA wins 2
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
Last matches: CSA
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
H2H: Atlético Alagoinhas vs CSA
14.06.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
05.04.26
H2H
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
L
07.03.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
0
W
24.02.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
1
D
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
07.03.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
0
W
24.02.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
1
D
Last matches: CSA
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
H2H away: CSA
14.06.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
W
07.03.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
0
L
24.02.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.11
Draw 5.37
Home 17.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.29
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.52
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.14
Over 3.0 2.64
Over 3.25 2.97
Over 3.5 2.82
Under 1.25 3.22
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 1.75 2.43
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.17
Draw 6.50
Home 19.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.53
Draw 2.50
Home 21.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.95
Under 2.5 1.85
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.10
Draw 6.80
Home 24.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.59
Draw 2.55
Home 14.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.41
Draw 3.20
Home 14.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.49
Over 3.0 2.80
Over 3.25 3.50
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.0 5.60
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.0 6.40
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.75
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.42
Under 3.0 1.37
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.24
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.16
Draw 5.40
Home 15.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 2.38
Home 12.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 2.85
Home 11.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 3.5 3.85
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Away
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)