Athletic Club vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
23 matches
Novorizontino
23 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 35 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 11.52 | Total Shots | 14.13 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Novorizontino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Novorizontino arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control.
So far, Athletic Club have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 31 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Max (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 33 points from 21 games and a place of 7, Novorizontino still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 32:20, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Robson (6 goals), Rômulo (3 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Rômulo (6 assists), Robson (3 assists), Juninho (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Novorizontino won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:9 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Novorizontino
Away
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 41 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16:52 | -36 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|