BRAZIL SERIE B
14.06.2026 19:00
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: A. Furtado
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Luiz Felipe
Goias
🟨
25'
Max
Athletic Club
🟨
25'
Lucas Rodrigues
Goias
🟨
37'
Djalma
Goias
🟨
38'
Zeca
Athletic Club
45'
E. Garcia
Goias
48'
Zeca
Athletic Club
🟨
53'
Jhonathan
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
D. Vera ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
Jhonatan Silva ↔ Marcelo Henrique
Athletic Club
🔄
57'
Zeca ↔ Gabriel Moyses
Athletic Club
🔄
61'
E. Garcia ↔ Jean Carlos
Goias
🔄
64'
Max ↔ Gustavinho
Athletic Club
67'
Kauan Rodrigues · Assist: Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
70'
Lucas Lima ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
71'
Juninho ↔ Brayann
Goias
VAR
75'
Jota
Athletic Club
🟥
77'
Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
78'
↔ Felipe Vieira
Athletic Club
🔄
80'
Diego Caito ↔ Rodrigo Soares
Goias
🔄
80'
Kadu ↔ Halerrandrio
Goias
🟨
90+3'
Ian Luccas
Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 38.7%
Draw 32.6%
Goias Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.27
Goias1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
12 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
9
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 12 matches
Goias Goias 12 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Goias
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
2 Losses 5
14 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
9 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
3.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
9.58 Total Shots 10.5
3.92 Corners 4
41.8% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Athletic Club's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Goias in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Goias. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club sit 10 with 17 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 13:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (2 goals), Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gege (2 goals), Bruno Sávio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Garcia (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, Goias won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.3%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-3-3 / Goias 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 1, draws 2, Goias wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11
Goias Away
29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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