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SPAIN › LA LIGA
05.09.2026 14:15
San Mamés Stadium
Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Kang-in Lee
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
Y. Alvarez ↔ A. Paredes
Athletic Club
⚽
46'
N. Williams
Athletic Club
⚽
48'
R. Navarro · Assist: I. Williams
Athletic Club
🔄
58'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
G. Simeone ↔ C. Romero
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
M. Hjulmand ↔ Koke
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
Lee Kang-In ↔ J. Alvarez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↔ M. Jauregizar
Athletic Club
🔄
66'
R. Navarro ↔ J. Louis-Jean
Athletic Club
🔄
66'
I. Williams ↔ A. Berenguer
Athletic Club
🔄
76'
N. Williams ↔ G. Guruzeta
Athletic Club
🔄
76'
A. Baena ↔ J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
⚽
90'
O. Sancet
Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 36.5%
Draw 22.7%
Atletico Madrid Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club2.02
Atletico Madrid1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
29 GF / 14 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 12 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 7 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Atletico Madrid
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
29 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 10
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 5
13.33 Total Shots 15.33
7.33 Corners 4.33
47% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 7 times, Atletico Madrid won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Athletic Club's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Athletic Club 5, Atletico Madrid 2
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 7, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2