SPAIN LA LIGA
05.09.2026 14:15
San Mamés
Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Kang-in Lee
Atletico Madrid
🔄
46'
Y. Alvarez ↔ A. Paredes
Athletic Club
46'
N. Williams
Athletic Club
48'
R. Navarro · Assist: I. Williams
Athletic Club
🔄
58'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
G. Simeone ↔ C. Romero
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
M. Hjulmand ↔ Koke
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
Lee Kang-In ↔ J. Alvarez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↔ M. Jauregizar
Athletic Club
🔄
66'
R. Navarro ↔ J. Louis-Jean
Athletic Club
🔄
66'
I. Williams ↔ A. Berenguer
Athletic Club
🔄
76'
N. Williams ↔ G. Guruzeta
Athletic Club
🔄
76'
A. Baena ↔ J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
90'
O. Sancet
Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.5%
1.36
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 36.5%
Draw 22.7%
Atletico Madrid Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club2.02
Atletico Madrid1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
29 GF / 14 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 12 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 7 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Atletico Madrid
6 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
5 Losses 2
29 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 10
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 5
13.33 Total Shots 15.33
7.33 Corners 4.33
47% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 7 times, Atletico Madrid won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Athletic Club's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Athletic Club 5, Atletico Madrid 2
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 7, draws 1, Atletico Madrid wins 7

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 21:4 17 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 14:4 10 12
W L W W W
3 5 3 1 1 11:5 6 10
L W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
6 5 2 3 0 9:6 3 9
D W W D D
7 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
8 5 2 1 2 8:5 3 7
W D L L W
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W W L L
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
W L W L D
11 5 2 1 2 5:8 -3 7
L L W W D
12 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W D W L
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
D D L W L
15 6 0 4 2 3:6 -3 4
D D D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:14 -6 4
L W L D L
17 5 0 3 2 2:8 -6 3
D D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 6:13 -7 2
D L L L D
20 5 0 1 4 1:10 -9 1
L L L L D
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation