SPAIN LA LIGA
19.09.2026 14:15
San Mamés Stadium

Athletic Club vs Alaves Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds 5.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
5.43
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.93
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
11.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 31.8%
Draw 5.2%
Alaves Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.74
Alaves1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
33 GF / 15 GA
Alaves Alaves
WLDWL
17 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
4
4.2
Shots on Goal
5.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 14 matches
Alaves Alaves 10 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Alaves
7 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
33 Goals For 17
15 Goals Against 8
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 1
4.2 Shots On Goal 5.17
13.8 Total Shots 14.17
6.4 Corners 4.83
49% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 7 times, Alaves won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:9 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-2-3-1 / Alaves 3-5-2
Missing players: Athletic Club 3, Alaves 3
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 7, draws 4, Alaves wins 4

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 28:6 22 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 17:6 11 15
W W L W W
3 6 5 0 1 8:6 2 15
W W W L W
4 6 4 1 1 14:6 8 13
W W L W D
5 6 4 1 1 9:6 3 13
W W D L W
6 6 3 1 2 11:6 5 10
L L W W D
7 6 2 3 1 9:7 2 9
L D W W D
8 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W W L L
9 7 2 1 4 10:10 0 7
L L W D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:16 -5 7
L W L W L
11 6 2 1 3 10:15 -5 7
W L W L D
12 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W D W L
13 6 2 1 3 5:12 -7 7
L L L W W
14 6 1 2 3 10:11 -1 5
W L L L D
15 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
L D W D L
16 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
L D D L W
17 7 1 2 4 11:17 -6 5
W L D L L
18 6 0 4 2 3:6 -3 4
D D D L L
19 6 1 1 4 2:10 -8 4
W L L L L
20 6 0 3 3 3:11 -8 3
L D D L D
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation