Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
56.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.6%
|
- |
Atalanta
Lazio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atalanta
48 matches
Lazio
36 matches
| Atalanta | Statistic | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 13 |
| 14 | Draws | 13 |
| 13 | Losses | 10 |
| 70 | Goals For | 38 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.52 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 14.48 | Total Shots | 10.78 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 3.64 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 2-2, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Atalanta had more of the ball in the first leg (51% possession compared to 49%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Atalanta also attempted more passes (519 to 504) and completed 460. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lazio. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atalanta expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lazio in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lazio having the stronger overall control.
Atalanta come into this tie placed - in their league with - points from - matches. With - wins, - draws, and - losses plus a goal ratio of -:-, they bring poor form into this tie. Going forward they rely on M. Pasalic (3 goals), B. Djimsiti (1 goals), G. Scamacca (1 goals), with creative support from D. Maldini (2 assists), G. Scamacca (1 assists), K. Sulemana (1 assists), while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. Stylistically they continue to show a balanced approach.
Lazio enter this tie with a season profile built on - points from - matches, placing them - in their league. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a -:- goal balance, points toward poor form . Their attacking influence is driven by B. Dia (1 goals), F. Dele-Bashiru (1 goals), M. Zaccagni (1 goals), with creative support from F. Dele-Bashiru (1 assists), N. Tavares (1 assists), and at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. Stylistically they continue to show a balanced approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 5 times, Lazio won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Atalanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.