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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Aston Villa
FT
1 - 4
Chelsea
Villa Park
Referee: J. Gillett
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Douglas Luiz · Assist: L. Bailey
Aston Villa
🟨
32'
Matty Cash
Aston Villa
⚽
35'
Joao Pedro · Assist: M. Gusto
Chelsea
VAR
42'
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa
⚽
45'
Joao Pedro · Assist: E. Fernandez
Chelsea
🔄
46'
M. Cash ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🟨
54'
João Pedro
Chelsea
⚽
55'
C. Palmer · Assist: Joao Pedro
Chelsea
🟨
58'
Morgan Rogers
Aston Villa
🟨
58'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
🔄
63'
Douglas Luiz ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
L. Bailey ↔ Alysson
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
E. Buendia ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
⚽
64'
Joao Pedro · Assist: A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🟨
68'
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa
🔄
72'
O. Watkins ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
75'
M. Gusto ↔ R. Lavia
Chelsea
🔄
79'
W. Fofana ↔ T. Adarabioyo
Chelsea
🔄
79'
E. Fernandez ↔ M. Cucurella
Chelsea
🔄
85'
C. Palmer ↔ Andrey Santos
Chelsea
🔄
85'
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.33
Chelsea1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
55 GF / 40 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
75 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
20
BTTS Yes
25
19
Over 2.5
26
4.71
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 38 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Chelsea
23 Wins 19
6 Draws 10
9 Losses 9
55 Goals For 75
40 Goals Against 44
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
20 BTTS Yes 25
27 Over 1.5 33
19 Over 2.5 26
8 Over 3.5 16
12 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 2
4.71 Shots On Goal 5.18
12.71 Total Shots 14
5.39 Corners 5.97
54.6% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Chelsea won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:23 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 4-3-3
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 3, Chelsea wins 6
Stats
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Chelsea Chelsea
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 8
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 14
3 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
431 Total passes 565
371 Passes accurate 515
0.78 expected_goals 3.60
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aston Villa
Formation
Chelsea
E. Martinez
E. Martinez
M. Cash
↓
M. Cash
E. Konsa
E. Konsa
T. Mings
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
I. Maatsen
A. Onana
A. Onana
Douglas Luiz
⚽ ↓
Douglas Luiz
L. Bailey
🎯 ↓
L. Bailey
E. Buendia
↓
E. Buendia
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
O. Watkins
↓
O. Watkins
F. Jorgensen
F. Jorgensen
M. Gusto
🎯 ↓
M. Gusto
W. Fofana
↓
W. Fofana
T. Chalobah
T. Chalobah
J. Hato
J. Hato
R. James
R. James
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
E. Fernandez
🎯 ↓
E. Fernandez
C. Palmer
⚽ ↓
C. Palmer
Joao Pedro
⚽ 3 🎯 ↓
Joao Pedro
A. Garnacho
🎯
A. Garnacho
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
↓ 46' 🟨 32'
D
4
E. Konsa
D
5
T. Mings
D
22
I. Maatsen
D
24
A. Onana
M
21
Douglas Luiz
⚽ 2' ↓ 63'
M
31
L. Bailey
🎯 2' ↓ 63'
M
10
E. Buendia
↓ 63'
M
27
M. Rogers
🟨 58'
M
11
O. Watkins
↓ 72' 🟨 68'
F
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
6
R. Barkley
↑ 63'
M
3
V. Lindelof
D
14
P. Torres
D
26
L. Bogarde
↑ 46'
M
47
Alysson
↑ 63'
F
12
L. Digne
D
18
T. Abraham
↑ 72'
F
19
J. Sancho
↑ 63'
F
Chelsea 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
F. Jorgensen
G
27
M. Gusto
🎯 35' ↓ 75'
D
29
W. Fofana
↓ 79'
D
23
T. Chalobah
D
21
J. Hato
D
24
R. James
M
25
M. Caicedo
M
8
E. Fernandez
🎯 45' ↓ 79' 🟨 58'
M
10
C. Palmer
⚽ 55' ↓ 85'
F
20
Joao Pedro
⚽ 35' ⚽ 45' ⚽ 64' 🎯 55' ↓ 85' 🟨 54'
F
49
A. Garnacho
🎯 64'
F
Substitutes
1
R. Sanchez
G
5
B. Badiashile
D
17
Andrey Santos
↑ 85'
M
19
M. Sarr
D
38
M. Guiu
F
4
T. Adarabioyo
↑ 79'
D
3
M. Cucurella
↑ 79'
D
9
L. Delap
↑ 85'
F
45
R. Lavia
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Aston Villa
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
Last matches: Chelsea
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
H2H: Aston Villa vs Chelsea
04.03.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
27.12.25
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
W
01.12.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
2
D
07.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
L
26.01.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
W
01.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
2
W
11.12.22
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
W
11.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
0
W
16.10.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
L
26.12.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
L
22.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
2
1
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
04.03.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
22.02.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
W
27.04.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
2
D
07.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
L
11.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
0
W
16.10.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
L
26.12.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
L
Last matches: Chelsea
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
01.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.02.26
FA
Chelsea
Hull City
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Wolves
3
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Napoli
3
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
3
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Chelsea
Charlton
5
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Fulham
1
2
L
04.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Chelsea
Atalanta
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
1
3
L
22.11.25
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
2
0
W
H2H away: Chelsea
04.03.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
W
22.02.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
2
D
07.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
W
11.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
W
26.12.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Arsenal
38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2
Manchester City
38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3
Manchester United
38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4
Aston Villa Home
38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5
Liverpool
38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6
Bournemouth
38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7
Sunderland
38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8
Brighton
38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9
Brentford
38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10
Chelsea Away
38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11
Fulham
38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12
Newcastle
38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13
Everton
38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14
Leeds
38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15
Crystal Palace
38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16
Nottingham Forest
38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17
Tottenham
38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18
West Ham
38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19
Burnley
38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20
Wolves
38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship