GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Referee: I. Papadopoulos
Asteras Tripolis
Match Timeline
Panetolikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Farley Rosa · Assist: J. Aguirre
Panetolikos
17'
J. Bartolo
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
49'
Jorge Aguirre
Panetolikos
62'
F. Macheda · Assist: J. Bartolo
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
64'
G. Satsias ↔ Esteban Diego
Panetolikos
🔄
64'
A. Apostolopoulos ↔ C. Manrique
Panetolikos
🟨
65'
Christos Almyras
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
69'
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
72'
Federico Macheda
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
80'
K. Aleksic ↔ Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
80'
A. Bouchalakis ↔ L. Smyrlis
Panetolikos
🔄
80'
J. Aguirre ↔ Y. Badji
Panetolikos
🔄
81'
J. Bartolo ↔ N. Kaltsas
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
81'
F. Macheda ↔ O. M. Chidera
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
87'
Chidera Okoh
Asteras Tripolis
VAR
87'
Youssouph Badji
Panetolikos
🟨
88'
Nikolaos Kaltsas
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
90+5'
E. Gonzalez ↔ T. Tzandaris
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
90+5'
K. Ketu ↔ S. Mitrovic
Asteras Tripolis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
-
Probability Distribution
Asteras Tripolis Win 34.4%
Draw 19.7%
Panetolikos Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Asteras Tripolis1.11
Panetolikos1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
WWDLW
25 GF / 42 GA
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WLDWL
29 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
13
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
13
3
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 29 matches
Panetolikos Panetolikos 29 matches
Asteras Tripolis Statistic Panetolikos
4 Wins 8
10 Draws 6
15 Losses 15
25 Goals For 29
42 Goals Against 43
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
13 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
13 Failed To Score 14
3 Shots On Goal 2.86
9.07 Total Shots 9.07
4.38 Corners 3.52
44.8% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Asteras Tripolis expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Panetolikos in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panetolikos having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Panetolikos.

Asteras Tripolis Analysis

Asteras Tripolis sit 6 with 22 points after 29 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 25:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Bartolo (9 goals), F. Macheda (4 goals), K. Ketu (2 goals), with creative support from K. Ketu (4 assists), F. Macheda (2 assists), N. Kaltsas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panetolikos Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 29 outings, Panetolikos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 27:40 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Aleksic (5 goals), Alexandru Mățan (4 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 6 times, Panetolikos won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Asteras Tripolis's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Asteras Tripolis 3-4-2-1 / Panetolikos 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Asteras Tripolis wins 6, draws 7, Panetolikos wins 2
Stats
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos Panetolikos
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
314 Total passes 448
264 Passes accurate 386
1.74 expected_goals 1.12
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Asteras Tripolis
Formation
Panetolikos
N. Papadopoulos
N. Papadopoulos
N. Sipcic
N. Sipcic
K. Triantafyllopoulos
K. Triantafyllopoulos
O. Alagbe
O. Alagbe
N. Alho
N. Alho
E. Gonzalez
E. Gonzalez
C. Almyras
C. Almyras
P. Deligiannidis
P. Deligiannidis
J. Bartolo
🎯
J. Bartolo
F. Macheda
F. Macheda
K. Ketu
K. Ketu
Y. Kucherenko
Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias
C. Mavrias
G. Granath
G. Granath
C. Sielis
C. Sielis
A. Apostolopoulos
A. Apostolopoulos
K. Aleksic
K. Aleksic
G. Satsias
G. Satsias
A. Bouchalakis
A. Bouchalakis
Farley Rosa
Farley Rosa
A. Matan
A. Matan
J. Aguirre
🎯
J. Aguirre
Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
N. Papadopoulos
G
3
N. Sipcic
D
13
K. Triantafyllopoulos
D
69
O. Alagbe
17
N. Alho
M
10
E. Gonzalez
↓ 90+5'
M
68
C. Almyras
🟨 65'
M
64
P. Deligiannidis
M
7
J. Bartolo
⚽ 17' 🎯 62' ↓ 81'
F
41
F. Macheda
⚽ 62' ↓ 81' 🟨 72'
F
40
K. Ketu
↓ 90+5'
Substitutes
61
V. Chatziemmanouil
G
20
N. Kaltsas
↑ 81' 🟨 88'
F
2
R. Ivanov
D
32
J. Mendieta
M
27
A. Tereziou
D
74
D. Laskaris
D
4
I. Sylla
D
8
T. Tzandaris
↑ 90+5'
M
22
Munoz Mumo
M
96
A. Simoni
F
75
S. Mitrovic
↑ 90+5'
F
26
O. M. Chidera
↑ 81' 🟨 87'
F
Panetolikos 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
99
Y. Kucherenko
G
35
C. Mavrias
D
2
G. Granath
D
16
C. Sielis
D
65
A. Apostolopoulos
↓ 64'
14
K. Aleksic
↓ 80'
M
18
G. Satsias
↓ 64'
M
41
A. Bouchalakis
↓ 80'
M
19
Farley Rosa
⚽ 13'
M
10
A. Matan
F
9
J. Aguirre
🎯 13' ↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
Z. Zivkovic
G
5
S. Mladen
D
31
J. Garcia
F
22
Esteban Diego
↑ 64'
70
Lenny Lobato
↑ 80'
F
7
L. Smyrlis
↑ 80'
F
77
E. Nikolaou
M
30
A. Bregou
M
71
K. Michalak
M
28
L. Kojic
15
C. Manrique
↑ 64'
D
25
Y. Badji
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: Asteras Tripolis
21.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
16.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
12.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
4
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
0
2
L
21.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
3
L
07.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
2
0
W
04.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
1
3
L
24.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
0
4
L
Last matches: Panetolikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
1
D
12.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
L
08.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
2
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
4
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
0
1
L
19.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
1
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
3
L
H2H: Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
21.05.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
W
22.04.26
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
1
D
13.01.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
0
W
21.09.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
2
L
19.02.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
2
D
05.11.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
05.02.23
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
0
D
16.04.22
H2H
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
Last matches: Asteras Tripolis
16.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
0
0
D
12.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
1
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
4
2
W
04.04.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
1
2
L
07.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
2
0
W
04.02.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
24.01.26
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
20.12.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
1
D
03.11.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
3
0
W
19.10.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
3
3
D
14.09.25
Sup
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
2
2
D
H2H at home: Asteras Tripolis
22.04.26
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
1
D
13.01.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
0
W
20.04.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
2
L
19.02.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
2
D
18.03.23
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
0
D
Last matches: Panetolikos
17.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
2
1
W
26.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
0
D
08.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
2
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
07.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
4
1
W
25.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
0
1
L
20.12.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
0
1
L
08.12.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
02.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
1
1
D
05.10.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
0
6
L
20.09.25
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
0
D
30.08.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
2
0
W
H2H away: Panetolikos
22.04.26
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1
1
D
13.01.25
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
2
D
18.03.23
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
2
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round