SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
27.09.2026 14:00
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

Assyriska FF vs Piteå Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Assyriska FF Win 78.9%
Draw 5.6%
Piteå Win 15.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Assyriska FF1.81
Piteå1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WWDLW
58 GF / 56 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
39 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
21
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 32 matches
Piteå Piteå 30 matches
Assyriska FF Statistic Piteå
11 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
14 Losses 15
58 Goals For 39
56 Goals Against 54
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
21 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Piteå. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Assyriska FF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 29 points compared to Piteå in 15 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Assyriska FF Analysis

Assyriska FF sit 8 with 29 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 37:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå sit 15 with 15 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 24:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF won 2 times, Piteå won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Assyriska FF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Assyriska FF wins 2, draws 2, Piteå wins 1

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L