ITALY SERIE B
19.09.2026 17:30
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli vs Avellino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ascoli Win 43.7%
Draw 22.7%
Avellino Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ascoli1.3
Avellino1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ascoli Ascoli
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Avellino Avellino
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
3.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ascoli Ascoli 8 matches
Avellino Avellino 9 matches
Ascoli Statistic Avellino
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
9 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 14
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 4
11.83 Total Shots 9.6
5.17 Corners 2.6
51.3% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli won 2 times, Avellino won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Ascoli's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Ascoli 4-2-3-1 / Avellino 3-5-2
H2H summary: Ascoli wins 2, draws 2, Avellino wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation