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ITALY › SERIE B
19.09.2026 17:30
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Ascoli
Match Timeline
Avellino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Luca Di Maggio
Avellino
⚽
17'
R. Russo · Assist: M. Palumbo
Avellino
🟨
45+2'
Nicholas Rizzo
Ascoli
🔄
46'
B. Moruzzi ↔ M. Sala
Avellino
⚽
49'
P. Enrici
Ascoli
🟨
60'
Giovanni Corradini
Ascoli
🔄
66'
D. Bolsius ↔ G. De Pieri
Ascoli
🔄
66'
M. Brunori ↔ A. Oliveri
Ascoli
🔄
66'
G. Corradini ↔ G. Gori
Ascoli
🔄
68'
L. Di Maggio ↔ D. Sounas
Avellino
⚽
72'
A. Silipo · Assist: T. Milanese
Ascoli
🟨
79'
Michele Besaggio
Avellino
🔄
80'
P. Enrici ↔ T. Biasci
Avellino
🔄
80'
W. Cheddira ↔ L. Pandolfi
Avellino
🔄
81'
T. Milanese ↔ G. Acampora
Ascoli
⚽
86'
A. Silipo · Assist: G. Gori
Ascoli
🔄
88'
A. Silipo ↔ F. Gattoni
Ascoli
🔄
88'
M. Besaggio ↔ S. Di Paolo
Avellino

Ascoli vs Avellino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ascoli Win 43.7%
Draw 22.7%
Avellino Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ascoli1.3
Avellino1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ascoli Ascoli
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Avellino Avellino
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
3.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ascoli Ascoli 8 matches
Avellino Avellino 9 matches
Ascoli Statistic Avellino
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
9 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 14
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 4
11.83 Total Shots 9.6
5.17 Corners 2.6
51.5% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli won 2 times, Avellino won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Ascoli's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Ascoli 3-5-2 / Avellino 3-5-2
H2H summary: Ascoli wins 2, draws 2, Avellino wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation