BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Penalties 5-4
1 - 1
ASA
Match Timeline
Goiatuba EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Vini Hora
Goiatuba EC
24'
Alex Bruno
ASA
120+1'
Daniel de Pauli
Goiatuba EC
120+1'
Michel Douglas
ASA
120+2'
Fagner
Goiatuba EC
120+2'
Allef
ASA
120+3'
Bruno Nunes
Goiatuba EC
120+3'
Gustavo Ramos
ASA
120+4'
Gabriel Silva
Goiatuba EC
120+4'
Paulinho
ASA
120+5'
Omar
Goiatuba EC
120+5'
Motta
ASA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
ASA Win 54.2%
Draw 9.2%
Goiatuba EC Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
ASA1.12
Goiatuba EC0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
ASA ASA
WWDLW
25 GF / 10 GA
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC
WLDWL
21 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.59
Average Goals Conceded
0.59
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ASA ASA 17 matches
Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 17 matches
ASA Statistic Goiatuba EC
9 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
2 Losses 2
25 Goals For 21
10 Goals Against 10
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.59 Avg Goals Conceded 0.59
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goiatuba EC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goiatuba EC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

ASA Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, ASA arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 16 points after 10 matches. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:7, they bring mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Goiatuba EC Analysis

Goiatuba EC enter this tie with a season profile built on 19 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 13:7, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, ASA won 0 times, Goiatuba EC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from ASA's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: ASA wins 0, draws 1, Goiatuba EC wins 0
Last matches: ASA
08.08.26
Ser
ASA
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
5
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
08.08.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
ASA
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
5
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
H2H: ASA vs Goiatuba EC
08.08.26
H2H
Goiatuba EC
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: ASA
26.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
5
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
2
2
D
24.05.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
4
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
4
2
W
Last matches: Goiatuba EC
26.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Manauara
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Brasiliense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Mixto
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
União Rondonópolis
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Goiatuba EC
CEOV Operário
2
2
D
06.09.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
2
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Sao Jose
2
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Inter De Limeira
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Itabirito
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Operario Ferroviario
1
2
L
21.06.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Monte Azul
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cianorte
3
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Goiatuba EC
Cascavel
4
1
W

Standings

Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)