BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 1
ASA
Match Timeline
CSA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
60'
Rian Santana
CSA
71'
Alex Bruno
ASA
90'
Alex Bruno
ASA
🟥
90+1'
CSA
CSA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Probability Distribution
ASA Win 36.9%
Draw 11.8%
CSA Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
ASA0.8
CSA2
Recent Form (Last 5)
ASA ASA
WWDLW
2 GF / 1 GA
CSA CSA
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
3
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ASA ASA 2 matches
CSA CSA 2 matches
ASA Statistic CSA
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 6
1 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 3
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CSA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 6 points while ASA sit 3 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSA. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSA having the stronger overall control.

ASA Analysis

ASA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 4 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 2:1 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Alex Bruno (1 goals), Iarley (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CSA Analysis

Placed 1 with 6 points from 2 outings, CSA continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 6:1 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Dudu Figueiredo (2 goals), Rian Santana (2 goals), Fabricio Bigode (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ASA won 4 times, CSA won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from ASA's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: ASA wins 4, draws 6, CSA wins 5
Last matches: ASA
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
H2H: ASA vs CSA
23.05.26
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
01.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
3
L
17.01.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
0
D
22.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
1
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSA
1
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
15.12.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
1
L
07.02.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
W
16.01.23
H2H
CSA
ASA
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
27.03.21
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
29.07.20
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
W
14.03.19
H2H
CSA
ASA
3
1
L
24.03.18
H2H
CSA
ASA
2
1
L
Last matches: ASA
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
2
2
D
24.05.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
4
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
4
2
W
H2H at home: ASA
19.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
01.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
3
L
17.01.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
0
D
16.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSA
1
0
W
15.12.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
1
L
07.02.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
27.03.21
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
29.07.20
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
W
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
H2H away: CSA
19.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
1
L
01.04.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
3
W
17.01.26
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
0
D
16.02.25
H2H
ASA
CSA
1
0
L
15.12.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
0
1
W
07.02.24
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
L
26.02.22
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
27.03.21
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
2
D
29.07.20
H2H
ASA
CSA
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Away
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA Home
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)