BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ASA
Match Timeline
Atlético Alagoinhas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Alex Bruno
ASA
58'
Allef
ASA
90'
Yohan
ASA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
19.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ASA Win 100%
Draw 0%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
ASA1.32
Atlético Alagoinhas0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
ASA ASA
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas
WLDWL
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ASA ASA 5 matches
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 5 matches
ASA Statistic Atlético Alagoinhas
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 4
5 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atlético Alagoinhas. Atlético Alagoinhas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. ASA arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 7 points compared to Atlético Alagoinhas in 6 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlético Alagoinhas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

ASA Analysis

ASA arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 7 points after 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alex Bruno (4 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Alagoinhas Analysis

Atlético Alagoinhas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 3 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, ASA won 3 times, Atlético Alagoinhas won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from ASA's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: ASA wins 3, draws 1, Atlético Alagoinhas wins 4
Last matches: ASA
18.07.26
Ser
ASA
Cianorte
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
30.08.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
1
0
W
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
H2H: ASA vs Atlético Alagoinhas
10.05.26
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
03.05.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
L
17.06.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
1
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
1
L
16.07.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
W
17.04.22
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
05.09.21
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
1
0
L
06.06.21
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
Last matches: ASA
12.07.26
Ser
ASA
Ivinhema
4
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
ASA
CSE
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
ASA
CSA
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
ASA
Jacuipense
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
ASA
Maranhão
0
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
ASA
Manauara
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
ASA
Ferroviario
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
ASA
Juazeirense
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
ASA
Sergipe
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
ASA
Lagarto
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
ASA
União Carmolandense
2
2
D
24.05.25
Ser
ASA
Barcelona BA
4
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
ASA
Penedense
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
ASA
Jequié
4
2
W
H2H at home: ASA
10.05.26
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
07.06.23
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
1
L
17.04.22
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
06.06.21
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
H2H away: Atlético Alagoinhas
10.05.26
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
1
W
17.04.22
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
L
06.06.21
H2H
ASA
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA Home
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)