Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 63.7%
Draw 4.3%
Fiorentina Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.66
Fiorentina2.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Fiorentina
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.71
2.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AS Roma
5 matches
Fiorentina
7 matches
| AS Roma | Statistic | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 19 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.71 |
| 2.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 39% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 9 times, Fiorentina won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:19 from AS Roma's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-3 / Fiorentina 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 9, draws 3, Fiorentina wins 3
Last matches: AS Roma
15.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
08.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Brighton
0
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Newport County
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cardiff
1
4
L
26.07.26
Fri
AS Roma
Cannes
3
3
D
24.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lazio
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Bologna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
3
3
D
22.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
0
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
14.08.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Benevento
4
1
W
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
H2H: AS Roma vs Fiorentina
04.05.26
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
1
2
W
04.05.25
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
5
1
L
10.03.24
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
2
2
D
10.12.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
1
D
27.05.23
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
2
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
W
09.05.22
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
2
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
3
1
W
03.03.21
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
1
2
W
01.11.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
W
26.07.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
1
W
20.12.19
H2H
Fiorentina
AS Roma
1
4
W
03.04.19
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
2
D
Last matches: AS Roma
17.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lazio
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
01.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
3
3
D
22.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
0
W
09.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cagliari
2
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
AC Milan
1
1
D
22.01.26
UEF
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
13.01.26
Cop
AS Roma
Torino
2
3
L
10.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Sassuolo
2
0
W
29.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
3
1
W
15.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
AS Roma
Napoli
0
1
L
27.11.25
UEF
AS Roma
FC Midtjylland
2
1
W
09.11.25
Ser
AS Roma
Udinese
2
0
W
29.10.25
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
AS Roma
Plzen
1
2
L
H2H at home: AS Roma
04.05.26
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
0
W
10.12.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
1
D
15.01.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
W
22.08.21
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
3
1
W
01.11.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
W
26.07.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
1
W
03.04.19
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
2
D
Last matches: Fiorentina
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H away: Fiorentina
04.05.26
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
L
04.05.25
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
0
L
10.12.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
1
1
D
15.01.23
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
L
22.08.21
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
3
1
L
01.11.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
0
L
26.07.20
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
1
L
03.04.19
H2H
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
2
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Fiorentina
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
AS Roma
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Champions League league stage
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Relegation