ITALY SERIE A
05.09.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: A. Colombo
AS Roma
Match Timeline
Atalanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
47'
Ederson
Atalanta
🔄
54'
E. Lulli ↔ N. Molina
AS Roma
🔄
54'
R. Mora ↔ M. Soule
AS Roma
🔄
62'
G. Mancini ↔ D. Ghilardi
AS Roma
🔄
63'
D. Malen ↔ S. Castro
AS Roma
🔄
66'
L. Samardzic ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta
🔄
66'
E. Elmas ↔ N. Zalewski
Atalanta
🔄
67'
E. Ndicka ↔ L. Balerdi
AS Roma
🔄
72'
S. Kolasinac ↔ D. Zappacosta
Atalanta
🔄
79'
Ederson ↔ F. Kessie
Atalanta
🟨
84'
Raoul Bellanova
Atalanta
89'
M. Hermoso · Assist: M. Soule
AS Roma
🟥
90+7'
Gianluca Gaetano
Atalanta
90'
M. Soule · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma

AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
1.71
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.8%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 58.4%
Draw 3.4%
Atalanta Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.79
Atalanta1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma AS Roma
WWDLW
18 GF / 13 GA
Atalanta Atalanta
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
4
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
8
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma AS Roma 7 matches
Atalanta Atalanta 8 matches
AS Roma Statistic Atalanta
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
18 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 5
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
4 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
8 Shots On Goal 4.5
16 Total Shots 10.75
1.5 Corners 3.5
62.5% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 2 times, Atalanta won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from AS Roma's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-1-2 / Atalanta 4-3-3
Missing players: AS Roma 2, Atalanta 2
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 2, draws 4, Atalanta wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 12:1 11 12
W W W W
2 4 4 0 0 13:6 7 12
W W W W
3 4 3 1 0 9:4 5 10
W W W D
4 4 3 1 0 6:3 3 10
D W W W
5 4 3 0 1 4:2 2 9
W W L W
6 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 4 1 1 2 8:10 -2 4
L L W D
14 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
16 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L D L L
17 4 0 1 3 2:6 -4 1
L D L L
18 4 0 1 3 6:11 -5 1
L D L L
19 4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 4 0 0 4 4:11 -7 0
L L L L
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