BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 13:00
Haradski Stadium
Arsenal
Match Timeline
Baranovichi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Egor Bozhko
Arsenal
🔄
46'
E. Lapun ↔ A. Tuzakbaev
Baranovichi
🔄
66'
M. Bondarenko ↔ V. Potorocha
Baranovichi
🔄
66'
E. Torekul ↔ M. Shevchenko
Baranovichi
🔄
68'
R. Ermolin ↔ S. Sazonchik
Arsenal
🔄
68'
V. Gorbachik ↔ I. Vasin
Arsenal
🔄
78'
T. Tkachev ↔ V. Vasilenko
Baranovichi
🟨
83'
Vadim Balbukh
Baranovichi
🟨
88'
Vasili Vasilenko
Baranovichi
🟨
90'
Artem Bruy
Baranovichi

Arsenal vs Baranovichi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 11.2%
Draw 25.3%
Baranovichi Win 63.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.33
Baranovichi1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
33 GF / 51 GA
Baranovichi Baranovichi
WLDWL
33 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
13
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
14
1.1
Shots on Goal
1.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 28 matches
Baranovichi Baranovichi 29 matches
Arsenal Statistic Baranovichi
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
13 Losses 13
33 Goals For 33
51 Goals Against 45
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
13 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 10
1.1 Shots On Goal 1.19
0.19 Total Shots 0
1.76 Corners 1.24
17.9% Ball Possession 12.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Baranovichi. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arsenal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Baranovichi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baranovichi having the stronger overall control. Arsenal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Arsenal Analysis

Arsenal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 21 points from 20 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:35, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baranovichi Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Baranovichi have collected 21 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 22:35 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 2 times, Baranovichi won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Arsenal's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-3-3 / Baranovichi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 2, draws 2, Baranovichi wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6 22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga