Arouca
Match Timeline
Moreirense
Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 80.1%
Draw 5.8%
Moreirense Win 14.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.07
Moreirense1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
Moreirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
6 matches
Moreirense
6 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 4 | Goals For | 10 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 4 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 42% | Ball Possession | 36% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 6 times, Moreirense won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 6, draws 3, Moreirense wins 6
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Arouca
Home
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Moreirense
Away
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2