Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moreirense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca0.96
Moreirense1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
3 GF / 5 GA
Moreirense
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
5 matches
Moreirense
4 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 3 | Goals For | 7 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 5 times, Moreirense won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
H2H summary: Arouca wins 5, draws 3, Moreirense wins 7
Last matches: Arouca
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
Last matches: Moreirense
01.08.26
Fri
Moreirense
Amarante
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
H2H: Arouca vs Moreirense
21.03.26
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
24.01.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
3
1
L
17.03.24
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
1
0
L
27.10.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
1
L
03.08.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
0
D
22.12.22
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
1
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
1
D
25.09.21
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
2
1
L
30.04.17
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
2
2
D
17.12.16
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
1
4
W
17.01.16
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
L
16.08.15
H2H
Moreirense
Arouca
0
2
W
23.05.15
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
L
Last matches: Arouca
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
28.12.25
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
0
W
01.12.25
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
1
1
D
29.09.25
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
L
14.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pri
Arouca
AVS
3
1
W
H2H at home: Arouca
02.11.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
24.01.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
27.10.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
1
L
03.08.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
1
D
30.04.17
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
2
2
D
17.01.16
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
L
23.05.15
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
L
Last matches: Moreirense
25.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
17.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
1
2
L
03.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
3
3
D
09.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
2
0
W
04.10.25
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
2
3
L
22.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
29.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
H2H away: Moreirense
02.11.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
W
24.01.25
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
L
27.10.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
1
W
03.08.23
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
1
D
30.04.17
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
2
2
D
17.01.16
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
W
23.05.15
H2H
Arouca
Moreirense
1
2
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Moreirense
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 |
Arouca
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2