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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
16.08.2026 17:00
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Referee: Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
Arouca
Match Timeline
Moreirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Maracás
Moreirense
🟨
16'
Javi Sánchez
Arouca
⚽
23'
Maracas
Arouca
⚽
30'
J. Fontan · Assist: H. Lee
Arouca
🟨
41'
Ivan Barbero
Arouca
🟨
44'
Kiko
Moreirense
⚽
45'
I. Barbero · Assist: N. Djouahra
Arouca
🔄
46'
Guilherme Liberato ↔ D. Pinto
Moreirense
🔄
46'
A. Vieira ↔ J. Veloso
Moreirense
🟨
55'
Nile John
Moreirense
🔄
59'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🔄
63'
Landerson ↔ K. Bondoso
Moreirense
🟨
65'
Leandro Santos
Moreirense
🔄
72'
H. Lee ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🔄
72'
A. Trezza ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
72'
Rodri ↔ M. Stjepanovic
Moreirense
🟨
75'
Dylan Nandín
Arouca
🔄
79'
T. Fukui ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
🔄
80'
E. van Ee ↔ M. Flores
Arouca
🔄
85'
L. Santos ↔ M. Dacosta
Moreirense
⚽
90'
D. Nandin · Assist: N. Djouahra
Arouca

Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 80.1%
Draw 5.8%
Moreirense Win 14.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.07
Moreirense1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca Arouca
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arouca Arouca 6 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 6 matches
Arouca Statistic Moreirense
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 10
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
1 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
2 Shots On Goal 3
4 Total Shots 7
2 Corners 4
42% Ball Possession 36%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 6 times, Moreirense won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Arouca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arouca wins 6, draws 3, Moreirense wins 6

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2