SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Midgardsvallen
Arlanda
Match Timeline
FBK Karlstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
M. Butros · Assist: I. Antholm
Arlanda
8'
Y. Yemane · Assist: S. Rydz
Arlanda
18'
M. Gorgos · Assist: C. Norberg
Arlanda
22'
S. Rehman · Assist: M. Butros
Arlanda
28'
S. Rydz · Assist: L. Kleist
Arlanda
30'
M. Oluwayemi · Assist: L. Fredriksson
FBK Karlstad
🟨
38'
E. Navassardian
FBK Karlstad
🔄
46'
L. Steen ↔ W. Olsson
FBK Karlstad
🔄
46'
S. Wagnsson ↔ V. Tigerholm
FBK Karlstad
🔄
46'
M. Butros ↔ L. Nyman
Arlanda
🔄
60'
E. Navassardian ↔ B. Buisson
FBK Karlstad
🔄
61'
M. Gorgos ↔ J. Carlsson
Arlanda
🔄
61'
S. Rydz ↔ A. Hansen
Arlanda
🔄
61'
S. Rehman ↔ A. Charbachi
Arlanda
🔄
72'
L. Fredriksson ↔ A. Parleholt
FBK Karlstad
🔄
75'
Y. Yemane ↔ O. Bergstedt
Arlanda
🟨
80'
E. Forsberg
FBK Karlstad
81'
A. Charbachi · Assist: A. Charbachi
Arlanda
🔄
85'
M. Oluwayemi ↔ F. Johansson Bahar
FBK Karlstad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.3%
2.03
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Arlanda Win 58.3%
Draw 6.6%
FBK Karlstad Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda1.59
FBK Karlstad1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arlanda Arlanda
WWDLW
43 GF / 36 GA
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad
WLDWL
41 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arlanda Arlanda 25 matches
FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 25 matches
Arlanda Statistic FBK Karlstad
10 Wins 12
9 Draws 4
6 Losses 9
43 Goals For 41
36 Goals Against 35
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
16 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 8
9 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FBK Karlstad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FBK Karlstad having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FBK Karlstad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Arlanda Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 16 games, Arlanda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FBK Karlstad Analysis

With 25 points from 16 games and a place of 7, FBK Karlstad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 24:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda won 1 times, FBK Karlstad won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Arlanda's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Arlanda wins 1, draws 1, FBK Karlstad wins 0

Lineups

Arlanda
Formation
FBK Karlstad
A. Smedberg Lagh
A. Smedberg Lagh
C. Norberg
🎯
C. Norberg
M. Ahmed
M. Ahmed
M. Gorgos
M. Gorgos
S. Rehman
S. Rehman
Y. Yemane
Y. Yemane
I. Antholm
🎯
I. Antholm
S. Rydz
🎯
S. Rydz
L. Kleist
🎯
L. Kleist
M. Butros
🎯
M. Butros
E. Johansson
E. Johansson
V. Johansson
V. Johansson
S. Wagnsson
S. Wagnsson
L. Fredriksson
🎯
L. Fredriksson
C. Marigliano
C. Marigliano
M. Oluwayemi
M. Oluwayemi
G. Hana
G. Hana
J. Hoiby
J. Hoiby
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
E. Navassardian
E. Navassardian
A. Hagelberg
A. Hagelberg
L. Steen
L. Steen
Arlanda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Smedberg Lagh
2
C. Norberg
🎯 18'
4
M. Ahmed
6
M. Gorgos
⚽ 18' ↓ 61'
7
S. Rehman
⚽ 22' ↓ 61'
8
Y. Yemane
⚽ 8' ↓ 75'
15
I. Antholm
🎯 1'
19
S. Rydz
⚽ 28' 🎯 8' ↓ 61'
21
L. Kleist
🎯 28'
22
M. Butros
⚽ 1' 🎯 22' ↓ 46'
27
E. Johansson
Substitutes
5
V. Elfstrom
10
A. Charbachi
⚽ 81' 🎯 81' ↑ 61'
12
L. Nyman
↑ 46'
14
A. Hansen
↑ 61'
16
O. Bergstedt
↑ 75'
18
J. Carlsson
↑ 61'
30
A. Karo
FBK Karlstad 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
20
V. Johansson
2
S. Wagnsson
↓ 46'
4
L. Fredriksson
🎯 30' ↓ 72'
6
C. Marigliano
8
M. Oluwayemi
⚽ 30' ↓ 85'
12
G. Hana
13
J. Hoiby
18
E. Forsberg
🟨 80'
21
E. Navassardian
↓ 60' 🟨 38'
26
A. Hagelberg
38
L. Steen
↓ 46'
Substitutes
19
N. Rolandsson
3
A. Parleholt
↑ 72'
9
F. Johansson Bahar
↑ 85'
14
B. Buisson
↑ 60'
17
W. Olsson
↑ 46'
22
V. Tigerholm
↑ 46'
Last matches: Arlanda
16.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
1
4
L
09.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
0
0
D
03.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Hammarby Talang
1
5
L
25.07.26
Fri
Arlanda
Haninge
6
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
18.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Järfälla
3
2
W
07.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
2
0
W
01.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Gefle IF
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
0
0
D
13.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Karlberg
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Sollentuna
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Enköping
7
1
W
18.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Umeå FC
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
07.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
1
4
L
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
16.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
2
0
W
09.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
26.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
0
7
L
18.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
3
L
05.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
IF Karlstad
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Karlberg
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Umeå FC
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Piteå
5
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Järfälla
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stocksund
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Vasalund
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Gefle IF
2
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Bjørkelangen
5
0
W
H2H: Arlanda vs FBK Karlstad
23.08.26
H2H
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
W
23.05.26
H2H
FBK Karlstad
Arlanda
0
0
D
Last matches: Arlanda
09.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Arlanda
Haninge
6
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
18.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
2
0
W
01.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Gefle IF
2
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Karlberg
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Sollentuna
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
H2H at home: Arlanda
23.08.26
H2H
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
W
Last matches: FBK Karlstad
09.08.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
18.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Sollentuna
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Stockholm Internazionale
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Karlberg
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Piteå
5
1
W
02.05.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Enköping
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ett
FBK Karlstad
Vasalund
3
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Trollhättan
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna
1
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Oddevold
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
FBK Karlstad
Orebro SK
0
3
L
H2H away: FBK Karlstad
23.08.26
H2H
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.63
Home 2.03
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.27
Over 3.5 2.51
Over 3.75 2.95
Under 2.0 3.38
Under 2.25 2.66
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.79
Under 3.25 1.60
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.60
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.30
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.62
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 3.55
Home 2.01
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.72
Draw 2.27
Home 2.53
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.34
Draw 2.64
Home 2.34
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.19
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 2.75 1.75
Over 3.0 1.92
Over 3.25 2.17
Over 3.5 2.42
Over 3.75 2.83
Over 4.0 3.58
Over 4.25 3.92
Over 4.5 4.25
Over 4.75 5.24
Over 5.0 7.10
Over 5.5 7.70
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 12.80
Under 1.0 9.50
Under 1.25 5.75
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 1.75 3.80
Under 2.0 3.34
Under 2.25 2.62
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 2.75 1.96
Under 3.0 1.71
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.55
Home 1.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.43
Home 2.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 4.5 3.80
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.19

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
3 18 11 3 4 29:15 14 36
L L W W L
4 18 9 6 3 30:20 10 33
W L D L W
5 18 9 4 5 31:25 6 31
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
9 18 6 5 7 30:31 -1 23
L W W W W
10 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
11 18 7 2 9 23:35 -12 23
W W L W W
12 18 4 8 6 17:25 -8 20
W W L D L
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 18 4 3 11 23:39 -16 15
L L L L W
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 18 2 5 11 36:44 -8 11
L L W L L