Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.5%
|
- |
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arka Gdynia
28 matches
Jagiellonia
42 matches
| Arka Gdynia | Statistic | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 18 |
| 7 | Draws | 15 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 30 | Goals For | 65 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 4.45 |
| 10.32 | Total Shots | 12.74 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Jagiellonia's more proactive style and Arka Gdynia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jagiellonia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Jagiellonia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while Arka Gdynia sit 16 on 34, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 34 points from 28 games and a place of 16, Arka Gdynia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 30:47 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. D. Espiau Hernandez (5 goals), N. Rusyn (4 goals), S. Kerk (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kerk (7 assists), Marc Navarro (4 assists), Kike Hermoso (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Jagiellonia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 43 points from 28 matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 44:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Afimico Pululu (11 goals), Jesús Imaz (11 goals), A. Pozo (3 goals), with creative support from Jesús Imaz (5 assists), B. Wdowik (4 assists), Afimico Pululu (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Arka Gdynia won 0 times, Jagiellonia won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:17 from Arka Gdynia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Arka Gdynia
6
5
6
3
5
1
Lineups
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
Jagiellonia
Pafos
Jagiellonia
Polessya
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
Luzino
Arka Gdynia
Olimpia Grudziądz
Arka Gdynia
Petrolul Ploiesti
Arka Gdynia
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Łódź
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
Radnicki NIS
Arka Gdynia
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Arka Gdynia
Gangwon FC
Arka Gdynia
Csikszereda
Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin
Arka Gdynia
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
Jagiellonia
Polessya
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Cracovia Krakow
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
Jagiellonia
CSKA 1948
Jagiellonia
Lask Linz
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Shkendija
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Strasbourg
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
Away
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
Home
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|