GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
17.05.2026 14:00
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Referee: C. Vergetis
Aris Thessalonikis
Match Timeline
Levadiakos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Martin Frýdek
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
41'
Fabricio Pedrozo
Levadiakos
🟨
44'
Giannis Kosti
Levadiakos
🟨
45'
Giannis Gianniotas
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
53'
Panagiotis Liagas
Levadiakos
🟨
55'
Enis Çokaj
Levadiakos
🔄
57'
G. Balzi ↔ K. Goumas
Levadiakos
🔄
57'
G. Nikas ↔ L. Jallow
Levadiakos
🔄
58'
Dudu ↔ C. Perez
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
59'
C. Kouame ↔ T. Kadewere
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
59'
L. Rose ↔ A. Tejero
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
61'
Sebastián Palacios
Levadiakos
⚽
64'
T. Kadewere · Assist: G. Gianniotas
Aris Thessalonikis
⚽
72'
C. Perez · Assist: T. Kadewere
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
75'
E. Cokaj ↔ B. Verbic
Levadiakos
🔄
76'
G. Athanasiadis ↔ E. Karaj
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
76'
S. Palacios ↔ O. Ozegovic
Levadiakos
🔄
78'
G. Gianniotas ↔ L. Moron
Aris Thessalonikis
⚽
80'
T. Kadewere · Assist: C. Perez
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
85'
F. Pedrozo ↔ C. Papadopoulos
Levadiakos
🟨
89'
Giannis Kosti
Levadiakos
🟥
89'
Giannis Kosti
Levadiakos

Aris Thessalonikis vs Levadiakos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aris Thessalonikis Win 64.2%
Draw 10%
Levadiakos Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aris Thessalonikis1.19
Levadiakos1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
WWDLW
34 GF / 36 GA
Levadiakos Levadiakos
WLDWL
63 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
2.03
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
18
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
20
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 33 matches
Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 matches
Aris Thessalonikis Statistic Levadiakos
10 Wins 15
14 Draws 7
9 Losses 9
34 Goals For 63
36 Goals Against 44
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
18 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 27
12 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 16
10 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 6
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.55
12.79 Total Shots 11.42
4.67 Corners 4.48
47.7% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Levadiakos's more proactive style and Aris Thessalonikis's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Levadiakos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Aris Thessalonikis Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 30 games, Aris Thessalonikis bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:31, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Moron (4 goals), B. Garre (3 goals), Dudu (3 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Tejero (3 assists), Dudu (2 assists), U. Racic (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Levadiakos Analysis

Levadiakos come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 28 points after 30 matches. With 14 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 60:42, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Pedrozo (12 goals), A. Ozbolt (11 goals), S. Palacios (6 goals), with creative support from T. Tsapras (10 assists), S. Palacios (8 assists), G. Balzi (7 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aris Thessalonikis won 7 times, Levadiakos won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Aris Thessalonikis's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1 / Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aris Thessalonikis wins 7, draws 5, Levadiakos wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round