ROMANIA LIGA I
13.09.2026 12:00
Stadionul Orasenesc
Referee: Florin Andrei, Romania
Arges Pitesti
Match Timeline
FC Botosani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Gabriel Charpentier ↔ Silviu Balaure
Arges Pitesti
🟨
41'
Narcis Ilas
FC Botosani
🟨
55'
Brian Bayeye
FC Botosani
🔄
57'
Roland Idowu ↔ Gabriel Gama
FC Botosani
60'
Taylor Luvambo · Assist: Yanis Pirvu
Arges Pitesti
🟥
68'
Narcis Ilas
FC Botosani
🔄
73'
Andrei Dumiter ↔ Mykola Kovtalyuk
FC Botosani
🔄
73'
Hervin Ongenda ↔ Jovan Marković
FC Botosani
🔄
73'
Zoran Mitrov ↔ Ştefan Bodişteanu
FC Botosani
🟨
76'
Dorinel·Oancea
Arges Pitesti
🟨
83'
Jovan Marković
FC Botosani
🔄
84'
Dorinel·Oancea ↔ Claudiu Micovschi
Arges Pitesti
🔄
84'
Yanis Pirvu ↔ Mario Tudose
Arges Pitesti
86'
Gabriel Gama · Assist: Lucas de Vega Lima
FC Botosani

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
2.21
BTTS No
60.3%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Arges Pitesti Win 58.4%
Draw 14.3%
FC Botosani Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arges Pitesti1.29
FC Botosani1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti
WWDLW
18 GF / 13 GA
FC Botosani FC Botosani
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.57
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
8
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arges Pitesti Arges Pitesti 14 matches
FC Botosani FC Botosani 14 matches
Arges Pitesti Statistic FC Botosani
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 4
18 Goals For 22
13 Goals Against 18
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.88
15 Total Shots 14.5
4.75 Corners 5.5
45.6% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arges Pitesti expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and FC Botosani in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Botosani having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Botosani.

Arges Pitesti Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Arges Pitesti have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 4:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Moldoveanu (3 goals), Y. Pîrvu (1 goals), with creative support from T. Luvambo (1 assists), D. Oancea (1 assists), X. Emmers (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Botosani Analysis

So far, FC Botosani have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 7 points from 7 matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Andrei Dumiter (4 goals), Sebastian Mailat (1 goals), with creative support from Enriko Papa (1 assists), Hervin Ongenda (1 assists), Zoran Mitrov (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Arges Pitesti won 2 times, FC Botosani won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:14 from Arges Pitesti's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Arges Pitesti 3-1-4-2 / FC Botosani 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arges Pitesti wins 2, draws 3, FC Botosani wins 6

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
2 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
3 9 6 2 1 19:7 12 20
W W D W W
4 9 5 1 3 11:12 -1 16
D W W L W
5 9 3 5 1 14:10 4 14
W D D D D
6 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
7 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
8 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
W L L L W
9 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
11 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
13 9 2 4 3 8:7 1 10
L L D D W
14 9 2 4 3 9:12 -3 10
L L D W D
15 9 2 2 5 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
16 9 0 1 8 6:21 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)