MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Aresimi
Match Timeline
Bashkimi Kumanovo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
A. Ramadani
Aresimi
🔄
25'
X. Avduli ↔ S. Mustafa
Aresimi
🔄
46'
M. Mislimi ↔ R. Murati
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
46'
F. Trawally ↔ E. Asani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
46'
B. Limani ↔ F. Aleksovski
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🟨
63'
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
67'
M. Goni ↔ S. Dzemaili
Aresimi
🔄
67'
R. Selmani ↔ F. Bayo
Aresimi
72'
N. Orr
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
80'
A. Gafuri ↔ A. Aliti
Aresimi
🔄
80'
A. Ramadani ↔ F. Osmani
Aresimi
🔄
82'
N. Orr ↔ D. Manasievski
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
82'
A. Alimi ↔ E. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aresimi Win 41.5%
Draw 18.9%
Bashkimi Kumanovo Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aresimi1.59
Bashkimi Kumanovo1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aresimi Aresimi
WWDLW
47 GF / 52 GA
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
WLDWL
36 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
16
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
16
0.5
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aresimi Aresimi 30 matches
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 30 matches
Aresimi Statistic Bashkimi Kumanovo
11 Wins 11
6 Draws 7
13 Losses 12
47 Goals For 36
52 Goals Against 49
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
16 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 11
0.5 Shots On Goal 1
1.75 Total Shots 3
0.25 Corners 1.75
11.5% Ball Possession 13.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bashkimi Kumanovo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bashkimi Kumanovo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bashkimi Kumanovo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Aresimi Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Aresimi have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 47:52 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Shefiti (11 goals), A. Taipi (6 goals), A. Besagic (5 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bashkimi Kumanovo Analysis

Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 6 with 41 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 36:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Avornyo (10 goals), F. Aleksovski (6 goals), M. Simonovski (3 goals), with creative support from B. Panovski (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Aresimi won 3 times, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Aresimi's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
H2H summary: Aresimi wins 3, draws 2, Bashkimi Kumanovo wins 2

Lineups

Aresimi
Formation
Bashkimi Kumanovo
D. Siljanovski
D. Siljanovski
X. Avduli
X. Avduli
M. Goni
M. Goni
A. Cuculi
A. Cuculi
R. Selmani
R. Selmani
A. Gafuri
A. Gafuri
A. Ramadani
A. Ramadani
M. Dardhishta
M. Dardhishta
S. Olatunbosun
S. Olatunbosun
B. Velija
B. Velija
A. Besagic
A. Besagic
A. Jasar
A. Jasar
B. Panovski
B. Panovski
M. Mislimi
M. Mislimi
E. Lichina
E. Lichina
N. Orr
N. Orr
F. Trawally
F. Trawally
A. Alimi
A. Alimi
B. Limani
B. Limani
F. Zuka
F. Zuka
L. Ribeiro
L. Ribeiro
E. Avornyo
E. Avornyo
Aresimi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
D. Siljanovski
3
X. Avduli
↓ 25'
5
M. Goni
↓ 67'
6
A. Cuculi
7
R. Selmani
↓ 67'
10
A. Gafuri
↓ 80'
11
A. Ramadani
⚽ 6' ↓ 80'
16
M. Dardhishta
17
S. Olatunbosun
23
B. Velija
88
A. Besagic
Substitutes
1
V. Islami
12
A. Ismaili
2
S. Dzemaili
↑ 67'
4
S. Mustafa
↑ 25'
8
B. Redjepi
9
F. Bayo
↑ 67'
18
R. Alii
20
M. Huric
21
A. Aliti
↑ 80'
22
F. Osmani
↑ 80'
77
L. Kasami
Bashkimi Kumanovo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Jasar
2
B. Panovski
4
M. Mislimi
↓ 46'
6
E. Lichina
7
N. Orr
⚽ 72' ↓ 82'
8
F. Trawally
↓ 46'
10
A. Alimi
↓ 82'
14
B. Limani
↓ 46'
33
F. Zuka
77
L. Ribeiro
80
E. Avornyo
Substitutes
96
L. Stojkovski
3
R. Murati
↑ 46'
11
A. Petejchuk
17
R. Memeti
19
R. Asani
21
D. Manasievski
↑ 82'
22
E. Asani
↑ 46'
23
F. Aleksovski
↑ 46'
24
H. Saiti
25
E. Saiti
↑ 82'
Last matches: Aresimi
23.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Struga
1
0
W
15.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Sileks
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
5
1
W
19.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
0
2
L
14.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
1
0
W
09.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
0
W
03.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkendija
0
1
L
10.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
0
1
L
04.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
0
5
L
01.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
22.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
3
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
5
L
04.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
1
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Kozuv Gevgelija
3
0
W
13.01.26
Fri
Aresimi
Primorje
1
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
Aresimi
NK Slaven Belupo
1
5
L
Last matches: Bashkimi Kumanovo
24.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
3
3
D
02.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
3
2
W
19.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Struga
0
4
L
11.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
1
L
07.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
0
0
D
02.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Tikveš
2
2
D
23.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
3
2
W
16.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
FK Rabotnicki
1
2
L
08.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
2
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Mladost DG
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Hrvace
1
3
L
27.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Rudar
3
0
W
H2H: Aresimi vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
10.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
1
D
03.11.25
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
1
1
D
01.03.25
H2H
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
2
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0
1
L
30.04.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
1
2
W
Last matches: Aresimi
23.05.26
Fir
Aresimi
Struga
1
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
5
1
W
14.04.26
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Tikveš
0
5
L
01.03.26
Fir
Aresimi
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
16.02.26
Fir
Aresimi
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
1
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Aresimi
Kozuv Gevgelija
3
0
W
08.12.25
Fir
Aresimi
Pelister
3
3
D
23.11.25
Fir
Aresimi
Shkendija
3
0
W
03.11.25
Fir
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
2
W
29.10.25
Fir
Aresimi
FK Rabotnicki
2
2
D
27.09.25
Fir
Aresimi
Shkupi 1927
4
2
W
18.09.25
Fir
Aresimi
Vardar Skopje
1
4
L
30.08.25
Fir
Aresimi
Sileks
0
1
L
15.08.25
Fir
Aresimi
Struga
1
2
L
H2H at home: Aresimi
10.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
1
D
03.11.25
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0
1
L
30.04.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
W
Last matches: Bashkimi Kumanovo
24.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
0
1
L
27.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
1
L
23.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
3
2
W
03.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
2
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
1
L
11.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Mladost DG
1
1
D
30.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Struga
0
6
L
23.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Tikveš
0
3
L
03.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
2
4
L
29.10.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
1
1
D
23.09.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
2
1
W
12.09.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
FK Rabotnicki
2
0
W
H2H away: Bashkimi Kumanovo
10.05.26
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
1
D
03.11.25
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
2
L
01.09.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0
1
W
30.04.24
H2H
Aresimi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L