ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Ararat
Match Timeline
FC Urartu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+3'
M. Kante
Ararat
🟨
54'
G. Lima
Ararat
🔄
56'
N. Aghasaryan ↔ S. Mkrtchyan
FC Urartu
🔄
56'
E. Vardanyan ↔ N. Kaloukian
FC Urartu
61'
K. Ayvazyan
FC Urartu
🔄
70'
A. Grigoryan ↔ A. Meite
Ararat
🔄
70'
M. Kante ↔ A. Ouattara
Ararat
🔄
76'
M. Velosa ↔ O. Polyakov
FC Urartu
🔄
81'
A. Aslanyan ↔ D. Ukadike
Ararat
🟨
83'
D. Ukadike
Ararat
🟨
83'
C. Dombila
Ararat
🟨
84'
E. Piloyan
FC Urartu
🟨
85'
A. Meite
Ararat
🔄
87'
C. Dombila ↔ P. Handzongo
Ararat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ararat Win 30.1%
Draw 11.3%
FC Urartu Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ararat0.84
FC Urartu1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ararat Ararat
WWDLW
17 GF / 53 GA
FC Urartu FC Urartu
WLDWL
43 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.65
2.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
9
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ararat Ararat 24 matches
FC Urartu FC Urartu 26 matches
Ararat Statistic FC Urartu
3 Wins 13
3 Draws 6
18 Losses 7
17 Goals For 43
53 Goals Against 27
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
2.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
9 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Urartu's more proactive style and Ararat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Urartu. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. FC Urartu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 45 points while Ararat sit 9 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Urartu having the stronger overall control.

Ararat Analysis

With 12 points from 24 games and a place of 9, Ararat still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 17:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Serobyan (7 goals), K. Doumbia (7 goals), A. Eloyan (6 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Urartu Analysis

With 45 points from 24 games and a place of 3, FC Urartu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 42:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bruno Michel (19 goals), M. Velosa (4 goals), N. Kaloukian (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Margaryan (4 assists), E. Piloyan (3 assists), N. Kaloukian (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ararat won 1 times, FC Urartu won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Ararat's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
H2H summary: Ararat wins 1, draws 5, FC Urartu wins 9

Lineups

FC Urartu
Formation
Ararat
A. Mishiev
A. Mishiev
K. Ayvazyan
K. Ayvazyan
E. Piloyan
E. Piloyan
A. Bratkov
A. Bratkov
Z. Margaryan
Z. Margaryan
Alef Santos
Alef Santos
N. Aghasaryan
N. Aghasaryan
K. Melkonyan
K. Melkonyan
M. Velosa
M. Velosa
M. Mirzoyan
M. Mirzoyan
E. Vardanyan
E. Vardanyan
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
A. Khachumyan
A. Khachumyan
A. Kartashyan
A. Kartashyan
G. Lulukyan
G. Lulukyan
A. Grigoryan
A. Grigoryan
C. Dombila
C. Dombila
K. Doumbia
K. Doumbia
A. Aslanyan
A. Aslanyan
M. Kante
M. Kante
M. Fofana
M. Fofana
G. Lima
G. Lima
FC Urartu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
92
A. Mishiev
99
K. Ayvazyan
⚽ 61'
3
E. Piloyan
🟨 84'
18
A. Bratkov
88
Z. Margaryan
6
Alef Santos
8
N. Aghasaryan
↓ 56'
10
K. Melkonyan
27
M. Velosa
↓ 76'
22
M. Mirzoyan
21
E. Vardanyan
↓ 56'
Substitutes
16
N. Gishyan
33
A. Dragojevic
4
A. Ghazaryan
2
A. Gunko
7
S. Mkrtchyan
↑ 56'
14
A. Polyarus
24
L. Bashoyan
77
A. Israelyan
90
O. Polyakov
↑ 76'
9
A. Llovet
23
N. Kaloukian
↑ 56'
Ararat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Anzimati-Aboudou
3
A. Khachumyan
5
A. Kartashyan
9
G. Lulukyan
10
A. Grigoryan
↓ 70'
12
C. Dombila
↓ 87' 🟨 83'
15
K. Doumbia
30
A. Aslanyan
↓ 81'
38
M. Kante
↓ 70' 🟨 45+3'
42
M. Fofana
55
G. Lima
🟨 54'
Substitutes
71
A. Martirosyan
4
V. Samsonyan
6
O. Chukwu
7
P. Handzongo
↑ 87'
14
P. E. Obinna
19
S. Toure
20
A. Meite
↑ 70' 🟨 85'
25
A. Ouattara
↑ 70'
27
A. Vardanyan
32
D. Ukadike
↑ 81' 🟨 83'
70
A. Mkrtchyan
77
A. Aleksanyan
Last matches: Ararat
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Andranik
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
2
2
D
26.05.26
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Urartu
17.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Spaeri
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Aragvi Dusheti
3
4
L
14.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Meshakhte
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Gagra
2
2
D
27.05.26
Pre
FC Urartu
FC Noah
0
5
L
18.05.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Shirak
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Van
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Alashkert
1
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Van
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Gandzasar
4
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
FC Urartu
BKMA
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
FC Urartu
BKMA
4
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Gandzasar
2
2
D
12.02.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Yelimay Semey
1
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Lokomotiv
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Uzbekistan
2
4
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Alashkert
2
0
W
21.11.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Pyunik Yerevan
1
1
D
H2H: Ararat vs FC Urartu
10.05.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
01.04.26
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
2
3
W
03.03.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
3
L
03.11.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
6
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
2
4
L
26.10.24
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
1
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
24.05.24
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
1
1
D
03.04.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D
29.11.23
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
2
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
1
1
D
06.06.23
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D
22.11.22
H2H
FC Urartu
Ararat
2
1
L
Last matches: Ararat
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Andranik
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
2
2
D
26.05.26
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Ararat
Shirak
1
0
W
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
27.10.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
22.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
09.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
H2H at home: Ararat
10.05.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
03.03.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
3
L
03.11.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
2
4
L
06.10.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
03.04.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Urartu
17.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Spaeri
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Aragvi Dusheti
3
4
L
14.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Meshakhte
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Gagra
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Shirak
0
0
D
23.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Van
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
FC Urartu
BKMA
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
FC Urartu
Gandzasar
2
2
D
12.02.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Yelimay Semey
1
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Lokomotiv
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
FC Urartu
Uzbekistan
2
4
L
29.11.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Alashkert
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
03.11.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Ararat
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
FC Urartu
FC Noah
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Shirak
1
0
W
29.08.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Pyunik Yerevan
2
1
W
15.08.25
Pre
FC Urartu
Van
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pre
FC Urartu
BKMA
1
1
D
H2H away: FC Urartu
10.05.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
W
03.03.26
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
3
W
03.11.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
2
4
W
06.10.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
W
03.04.24
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7 27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation