BRAZIL › SERIE D

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Araguaína

9 - 0

Galvez

Araguaína

Match Timeline

Galvez

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 75.1%

Odds 1.06

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds 1.71

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.96

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	75.1%	1.06	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	1.71	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.96	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	1.10	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	1.15	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	12.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Araguaína Win 75.1%

Draw 6.9%

Galvez Win 18%

Expected Goals (xG)

Araguaína2.44

Galvez1.34

Recent Form (Last 5)

Araguaína

WWDLW

22 GF / 9 GA

Galvez

WLDWL

14 GF / 22 GA

Key Stats

2.44

Average Goals Scored

1.56

Average Goals Conceded

2.44

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Araguaína 9 matches

Galvez 9 matches

Araguaína	Statistic	Galvez
4	Wins	3
3	Draws	1
2	Losses	5
22	Goals For	14
9	Goals Against	22
2.44	Avg Goals Scored	1.56
1	Avg Goals Conceded	2.44
6	BTTS Yes	6
8	Over 1.5	7
5	Over 2.5	7
3	Over 3.5	5
2	Clean Sheets	1
1	Failed To Score	2
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Araguaína's more proactive style and Galvez's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Galvez. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Galvez arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Araguaína arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 15 points compared to Galvez in 5 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Galvez having the stronger overall control.

Araguaína Analysis

Placed 2 with 15 points from 9 outings, Araguaína continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alan Calbergue (5 goals), G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues (4 goals), Ailton (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Galvez Analysis

Galvez sit 5 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Capixaba (6 goals), Daniego (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Araguaína won 1 times, Galvez won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Araguaína's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)

H2H summary: Araguaína wins 1, draws 0, Galvez wins 0

Last matches: Araguaína

30.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Guaporé

24.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Porto Velho

17.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Independência

10.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Humaitá

03.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Humaitá

26.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Independência

19.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Porto Velho

12.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Guaporé

04.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Galvez

Last matches: Galvez

30.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Porto Velho

24.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Independência

16.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Humaitá

09.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Guaporé

03.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Guaporé

26.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Humaitá

19.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Independência

12.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Porto Velho

04.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Araguaína

H2H: Araguaína vs Galvez

04.04.26

H2H

Galvez

Araguaína

Last matches: Araguaína

24.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Porto Velho

03.05.26

Ser

Araguaína

Humaitá

26.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Independência

12.04.26

Ser

Araguaína

Guaporé

Last matches: Galvez

24.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Independência

09.05.26

Ser

Galvez

Guaporé

26.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Humaitá

12.04.26

Ser

Galvez

Porto Velho

Showing odds from: 1xBet

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 14.86

Draw 8.56

Home 1.06

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 2.75 1.39

Over 3.0 1.48

Over 3.25 1.69

Over 3.5 1.89

Over 3.75 1.39

Over 4.0 1.48

Over 4.25 1.66

Over 4.5 1.85

Over 4.75 2.02

Over 5.0 2.26

Over 5.25 2.47

Under 2.75 2.73

Under 3.0 2.43

Under 3.25 2.06

Under 3.5 1.83

Under 3.75 2.59

Under 4.0 2.33

Under 4.25 2.01

Under 4.5 1.81

Under 4.75 1.66

Under 5.0 1.50

Under 5.25 1.42

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 67.00

Draw 15.00

Home 1.03

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 13.00

Draw 3.25

Home 1.36

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 2.5 1.17

Under 2.5 4.50

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 65.00

Draw 15.00

Home 1.03

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 9.05

Draw 3.32

Home 1.43

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 10.40

Draw 4.80

Home 1.24

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.03

Over 2.0 1.06

Over 2.5 1.17

Over 2.75 1.28

Over 3.0 1.21

Over 3.25 1.33

Over 3.5 1.44

Over 3.75 1.53

Over 4.0 1.65

Over 4.25 1.85

Over 4.5 2.02

Over 4.75 2.21

Over 5.0 2.56

Over 5.25 2.78

Over 5.5 2.97

Over 5.75 3.14

Over 6.0 4.40

Under 1.5 9.00

Under 2.0 6.35

Under 2.5 4.50

Under 2.75 3.08

Under 3.0 3.58

Under 3.25 2.83

Under 3.5 2.42

Under 3.75 2.21

Under 4.0 2.00

Under 4.25 1.83

Under 4.5 1.69

Under 4.75 1.53

Under 5.0 1.40

Under 5.25 1.34

Under 5.5 1.30

Under 5.75 1.27

Under 6.0 1.14

Standings

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína Home	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez Away	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)