TURKEY 1. LIG
20.09.2026 17:00
Corendon Airlines Park
Referee: M. Belder

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.9%
1.14
BTTS Yes
86%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Antalyaspor Win 51.2%
Draw 18.7%
Vanspor FK Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antalyaspor1.78
Vanspor FK1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
WWDLW
13 GF / 14 GA
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
3
3.29
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 8 matches
Vanspor FK Vanspor FK 7 matches
Antalyaspor Statistic Vanspor FK
4 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
13 Goals For 8
14 Goals Against 14
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
3.29 Shots On Goal 3.14
11.71 Total Shots 10.29
5 Corners 4.57
57.7% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vanspor FK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Antalyaspor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antalyaspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Vanspor FK in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vanspor FK having the stronger overall control.

Antalyaspor Analysis

Antalyaspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 9 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Vural (2 goals), M. Şimşek (2 goals), Bugra Tivsiz Ensar (1 goals), with creative support from G. Vural (1 assists), Bugra Tivsiz Ensar (1 assists), S. van de Streek (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vanspor FK Analysis

Vanspor FK sit 16 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Maniş (2 goals), J. Bardhi (2 goals), with creative support from M. Maniş (2 assists), O. Kökçü (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Antalyaspor 4-2-3-1 / Vanspor FK 4-4-2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:3 11 16
W W D L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
8 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
9 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
10 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
15 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
18 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
19 7 0 2 5 6:19 -13 2
L L L D L
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation