TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Corendon Airlines Park
Referee: H. U. Meler
Antalyaspor
Match Timeline
Kocaelispor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Dan Agyei
Kocaelispor
🟨
38'
Habib Keita
Kocaelispor
🔄
38'
H. Keita ↔ J. Nonge
Kocaelispor
🟨
41'
Ahmet Oğuz
Kocaelispor
🔄
46'
J. Ceesay ↔ N. Storm
Antalyaspor
🔄
46'
A. Oguz ↔ T. Bingol
Kocaelispor
🟨
54'
Kenneth Paal
Antalyaspor
🟨
61'
Tayfur Bingöl
Kocaelispor
🟨
63'
Ramzi Safouri
Antalyaspor
🔄
64'
D. Churlinov ↔ S. Dursun
Kocaelispor
🔄
67'
R. Safuri ↔ Y. Boli
Antalyaspor
🟨
71'
Dan Agyei
Kocaelispor
🔄
71'
D. Agyei ↔ E. Narin
Kocaelispor
🟨
73'
Bünyamin Balcı
Antalyaspor
🟨
73'
Abdullah Yiğiter
Antalyaspor
🟨
74'
Show
Kocaelispor
🟨
77'
Soner Dikmen
Antalyaspor
🟨
79'
Samuel Ballet
Antalyaspor
79'
S. Ballet · Assist: S. van de Streek
Antalyaspor
🔄
87'
A. Omur ↔ B. Ozturk
Antalyaspor
🟨
90+7'
Rigoberto Rivas
Kocaelispor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Antalyaspor Win 35.1%
Draw 18.1%
Kocaelispor Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antalyaspor1.03
Kocaelispor1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
WWDLW
32 GF / 55 GA
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
17
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
9
3.45
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 33 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 33 matches
Antalyaspor Statistic Kocaelispor
7 Wins 9
8 Draws 10
18 Losses 14
32 Goals For 26
55 Goals Against 37
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
17 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 14
3.45 Shots On Goal 2.88
9.52 Total Shots 10.18
4.15 Corners 4.18
45.1% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kocaelispor. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antalyaspor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control. Antalyaspor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Antalyaspor Analysis

With 29 points from 33 games and a place of 16, Antalyaspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 32:55, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. van de Streek (6 goals), N. Storm (4 goals), S. Dikmen (4 goals), with creative support from R. Safuri (5 assists), B. Balci (4 assists), S. van de Streek (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kocaelispor Analysis

Kocaelispor are currently 11 in the standings with 37 points from 33 matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 26:37 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (6 goals), D. Agyei (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Serdar Dursun (2 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Antalyaspor won 2 times, Kocaelispor won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Antalyaspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Antalyaspor 4-1-4-1 / Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Missing players: Antalyaspor 3, Kocaelispor 4
H2H summary: Antalyaspor wins 2, draws 0, Kocaelispor wins 2
Stats
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 4
21 Fouls 21
1 Offsides 2
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
283 Total passes 418
216 Passes accurate 336
1.35 expected_goals 0.33
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Antalyaspor
Formation
Kocaelispor
A. Yigiter
A. Yigiter
B. Balci
B. Balci
L. Giannetti
L. Giannetti
H. Turkmen
H. Turkmen
K. Paal
K. Paal
S. Dikmen
S. Dikmen
J. Ceesay
J. Ceesay
A. Omur
A. Omur
R. Safuri
R. Safuri
S. Ballet
S. Ballet
S. van de Streek
🎯
S. van de Streek
S. Oztasdelen
S. Oztasdelen
A. Oguz
A. Oguz
A. Dijksteel
A. Dijksteel
H. Smolcic
H. Smolcic
M. Haidara
M. Haidara
H. Keita
H. Keita
Show
Show
M. Susoho
M. Susoho
R. Rivas
R. Rivas
D. Agyei
D. Agyei
D. Churlinov
D. Churlinov
Antalyaspor 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
A. Yigiter
🟨 73'
G
7
B. Balci
🟨 73'
D
30
L. Giannetti
D
4
H. Turkmen
D
3
K. Paal
🟨 54'
D
6
S. Dikmen
🟨 77'
M
23
J. Ceesay
↓ 46'
M
10
A. Omur
↓ 87'
M
8
R. Safuri
↓ 67' 🟨 63'
M
11
S. Ballet
⚽ 79' 🟨 79'
M
22
S. van de Streek
🎯 79'
F
Substitutes
1
Julian
G
26
N. Storm
↑ 46'
F
14
G. Dzhikiya
D
5
B. Ozturk
↑ 87'
D
2
S. Karakoc
D
20
H. Ilcin
M
89
V. Sari
D
77
Y. Boli
↑ 67'
F
90
K. Kayaarasi
F
24
B. Gueye
F
Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Starting XI
83
S. Oztasdelen
G
22
A. Oguz
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
D
2
A. Dijksteel
D
6
H. Smolcic
D
21
M. Haidara
D
8
H. Keita
↓ 38' 🟨 38'
M
14
Show
🟨 74'
M
20
M. Susoho
M
99
R. Rivas
🟨 90+7'
F
7
D. Agyei
↓ 71' 🟨 71'
F
17
D. Churlinov
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
35
G. Degirmenci
G
19
S. Dursun
↑ 64'
F
18
F. Gedik
F
98
J. Nonge
↑ 38'
M
97
A. Ozyar
F
75
T. Bingol
↑ 46' 🟨 61'
D
3
M. Cinan
D
89
M. Kucuk
D
94
E. Narin
↑ 71'
M
16
D. Ceylan
D
Last matches: Antalyaspor
09.05.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray
2
4
L
03.05.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
25.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Göztepe
0
2
L
17.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
0
2
L
10.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Beşiktaş
2
4
L
05.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
3
0
W
18.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
13.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
4
L
08.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Rizespor
0
1
L
01.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
2
D
22.02.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
0
1
L
13.02.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Samsunspor
3
1
W
07.02.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
1
L
30.01.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
25.01.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
1
W
18.01.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
19.12.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
1
2
L
13.12.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray
1
4
L
08.12.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
30.11.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Göztepe
1
2
L
Last matches: Kocaelispor
09.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
0
1
L
03.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
26.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
1
L
18.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
1
1
D
12.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
1
1
D
06.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
18.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
0
5
L
14.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
1
2
L
09.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
0
1
L
20.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
0
2
L
15.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
3
0
W
09.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
02.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
0
2
L
24.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
0
0
D
18.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
1
2
L
07.01.26
Fri
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
19.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
1
D
07.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
0
D
H2H: Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
17.05.26
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
19.12.25
H2H
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
2
1
L
07.01.25
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
3
1
W
15.07.21
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
0
1
L
Last matches: Antalyaspor
03.05.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Alanyaspor
0
0
D
17.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
0
2
L
05.04.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Eyüpspor
3
0
W
13.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Gaziantep FK
1
4
L
01.03.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahçe
2
2
D
13.02.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Samsunspor
3
1
W
30.01.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Trabzonspor
1
1
D
25.01.26
Süp
Antalyaspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
2
1
W
13.12.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray
1
4
L
30.11.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Göztepe
1
2
L
08.11.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Beşiktaş
1
3
L
26.10.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
0
4
L
03.10.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Rizespor
2
5
L
20.09.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
1
1
D
30.08.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
2
L
09.08.25
Süp
Antalyaspor
Kasımpaşa
2
1
W
H2H at home: Antalyaspor
17.05.26
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
07.01.25
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
3
1
W
15.07.21
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
0
1
L
Last matches: Kocaelispor
03.05.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
26.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
1
L
12.04.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
1
1
D
18.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
0
5
L
09.03.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
20.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
0
2
L
09.02.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
2
1
W
24.01.26
Süp
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
0
0
D
07.01.26
Fri
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
0
2
L
14.12.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
1
1
D
23.11.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
0
0
D
31.10.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
0
1
L
18.10.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
3
2
W
29.09.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
1
3
L
14.09.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
0
2
L
23.08.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
11.08.25
Süp
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
0
1
L
H2H away: Kocaelispor
17.05.26
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
1
0
L
07.01.25
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
3
1
L
15.07.21
H2H
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
0
1
W

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Antalyaspor 3 missing
-
E. Yesilyurt
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
D. Saric
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
D. Sinik
Questionable Injury
OUT
Kocaelispor 4 missing
-
B. Balogh
Questionable Health problems
OUT
-
B. Petkovic
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Wieteska
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Jovanovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT