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TURKEY › 1. LIG
25.10.2026 13:00
Corendon Airlines Park

Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Antalyaspor Win 30.2%
Draw 20.1%
Bodrum FK Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antalyaspor1.29
Bodrum FK1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
WWDLW
17 GF / 18 GA
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
6
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
4
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 11 matches
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 11 matches
Antalyaspor Statistic Bodrum FK
6 Wins 3
0 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
17 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 10
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 6
3.1 Shots On Goal 3.64
11.3 Total Shots 10.73
4.8 Corners 4.18
57.8% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Bodrum FK's more proactive style and Antalyaspor's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bodrum FK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Antalyaspor Analysis

So far, Antalyaspor have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 15 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Şimşek (2 goals), S. van de Streek (2 goals), G. Vural (2 goals), with creative support from M. Şimşek (2 assists), S. van de Streek (1 assists), G. Vural (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bodrum FK Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Bodrum FK have collected 14 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 13:10 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Aboubakar (4 goals), E. Bilsel (3 goals), Fernando Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from B. Yavuzay (2 assists), J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz (2 assists), R. Providence (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Antalyaspor won 2 times, Bodrum FK won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Antalyaspor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Antalyaspor 4-2-3-1 / Bodrum FK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Antalyaspor wins 2, draws 1, Bodrum FK wins 1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
10 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
11 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
12 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
13 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation