TURKEY SüPER LIG
03.05.2026 17:00
Corendon Airlines Park
Referee: A. Karaoglan
Antalyaspor
Match Timeline
Alanyaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Soner Dikmen
Antalyaspor
🟨
-5'
Bahadır Öztürk
Antalyaspor
🟨
-5'
Abdullah Yiğiter
Antalyaspor
🟨
-5'
Meschak Elia
Alanyaspor
🟨
10'
Maestro
Alanyaspor
🟨
26'
Samuel Ballet
Antalyaspor
🟨
45+1'
Ümit Akdağ
Alanyaspor
🔄
61'
G. Yalcin ↔ I. Kaya
Alanyaspor
🔄
61'
Maestro ↔ N. Janvier
Alanyaspor
🟨
65'
Nuno Lima
Alanyaspor
VAR
66'
Nuno Lima
Alanyaspor
🟨
69'
Ruan Pereira Duarte
Alanyaspor
🔄
69'
D. Sinik ↔ N. Storm
Antalyaspor
🔄
76'
S. Dikmen ↔ D. Saric
Antalyaspor
🔄
76'
B. Balci ↔ K. Paal
Antalyaspor
🔄
76'
V. Sari ↔ L. Giannetti
Antalyaspor
🔄
77'
Hwang Ui-Jo ↔ I. Hagi
Alanyaspor
🔄
90+2'
R. Safuri ↔ Y. Boli
Antalyaspor
🔄
90+3'
Ruan ↔ E. Keskin
Alanyaspor
🔄
90+3'
M. Elia ↔ I. Celik
Alanyaspor

Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Antalyaspor Win 57.5%
Draw 0%
Alanyaspor Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antalyaspor1.07
Alanyaspor1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
WWDLW
30 GF / 51 GA
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
WLDWL
37 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
16
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
14
3.58
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 31 matches
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 31 matches
Antalyaspor Statistic Alanyaspor
7 Wins 6
7 Draws 15
17 Losses 10
30 Goals For 37
51 Goals Against 38
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
16 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 8
3.58 Shots On Goal 4.03
9.65 Total Shots 12.58
4.29 Corners 4.71
45.2% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antalyaspor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Alanyaspor in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alanyaspor having the stronger overall control. Antalyaspor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Alanyaspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Antalyaspor Analysis

Antalyaspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 28 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 30:51 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. van de Streek (6 goals), N. Storm (4 goals), Samuel Ballet (4 goals), with creative support from R. Safuri (5 assists), S. van de Streek (3 assists), B. Balci (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alanyaspor Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Alanyaspor have collected 33 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 15 draws, and 10 losses, while the 37:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Güven Yalçın (8 goals), F. Hadergjonaj (5 goals), I. Kaya (5 goals), with creative support from F. Hadergjonaj (7 assists), Hwang Ui-Jo (6 assists), Ianis Hagi (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Antalyaspor won 8 times, Alanyaspor won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Antalyaspor's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Antalyaspor 4-1-4-1 / Alanyaspor 3-4-3
Missing players: Antalyaspor 0, Alanyaspor 3
H2H summary: Antalyaspor wins 8, draws 4, Alanyaspor wins 3

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation