FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Raymond-Kopa
Referee: M. Bollengier
Angers
Match Timeline
Le Havre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
S. Boufal · Assist: I. Soumare
Le Havre
28'
P. Peter · Assist: L. Raolisoa
Angers
🟨
34'
Rassoul Ndiaye
Le Havre
🔄
46'
O. Camara ↔ E. Biumla
Angers
🟨
52'
Ayumu Seko
Le Havre
🔄
68'
A. Samatta ↔ Y. Kechta
Le Havre
🔄
68'
L. Gourna-Douath ↔ S. Ebonog
Le Havre
🔄
69'
F. Doucoure ↔ L. Nego
Le Havre
🔄
73'
P. Capelle ↔ L. Mouton
Angers
🟥
75'
Arouna Sangante
Le Havre
🔄
80'
P. Peter ↔ G. Koyalipou
Angers
🔄
80'
S. Boufal ↔ T. Pembele
Le Havre
🔄
89'
A. Sbai ↔ L. Machine
Angers
🟨
90+3'
Louis Mouton
Angers
🟨
90+3'
Loic Négo
Le Havre
🔄
90+1'
R. Ndiaye ↔ D. N. Mosengo
Le Havre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Angers Win 85%
Draw 10.8%
Le Havre Win 4.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Angers1.02
Le Havre1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Angers Angers
WWDLW
26 GF / 40 GA
Le Havre Le Havre
WLDWL
24 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
11
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
10
3.26
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Angers Angers 31 matches
Le Havre Le Havre 30 matches
Angers Statistic Le Havre
9 Wins 6
8 Draws 11
14 Losses 13
26 Goals For 24
40 Goals Against 39
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
11 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 14
3.26 Shots On Goal 3.5
9.35 Total Shots 11.43
3.77 Corners 4.43
43.6% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Angers expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Le Havre in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Le Havre having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Le Havre. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Angers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Angers Analysis

With 33 points from 29 games and a place of 13, Angers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 25:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Lepaul (16 goals), P. Peter (4 goals), Sidiki Cherif (4 goals), with creative support from E. Lepaul (3 assists), L. Raolisoa (3 assists), Carlens Arcus (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with C. Arcus, M. Courcoul, H. Djibirin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Le Havre Analysis

Le Havre sit 14 with 29 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 24:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Soumare (6 goals), R. Ndiaye (4 goals), A. Toure (2 goals), with creative support from R. Ndiaye (4 assists), I. Soumare (3 assists), Sofiane Boufal (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without A. Toure, F. Mambimbi, S. Ebonog, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Angers won 5 times, Le Havre won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Angers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Angers 5-3-2 / Le Havre 4-1-3-2
Missing players: Angers 4, Le Havre 2
H2H summary: Angers wins 5, draws 4, Le Havre wins 6
Stats
Angers Angers
Le Havre Le Havre
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 4
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
354 Total passes 455
300 Passes accurate 401
1.07 expected_goals 1.45
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Angers
Formation
Le Havre
H. Koffi
H. Koffi
L. Raolisoa
🎯
L. Raolisoa
M. Louer
M. Louer
O. Camara
O. Camara
J. Lefort
J. Lefort
J. Ekomie
J. Ekomie
P. Capelle
P. Capelle
B. van den Boomen
B. van den Boomen
H. Belkebla
H. Belkebla
P. Peter
P. Peter
A. Sbai
A. Sbai
M. Diaw
M. Diaw
A. Sangante
A. Sangante
A. Seko
A. Seko
G. Lloris
G. Lloris
F. Doucoure
F. Doucoure
R. Ndiaye
R. Ndiaye
L. Gourna-Douath
L. Gourna-Douath
Y. Zouaoui
Y. Zouaoui
S. Boufal
S. Boufal
A. Samatta
A. Samatta
I. Soumare
🎯
I. Soumare
Angers 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
H. Koffi
G
27
L. Raolisoa
🎯 28'
D
20
M. Louer
D
4
O. Camara
↓ 46'
D
21
J. Lefort
D
3
J. Ekomie
D
15
P. Capelle
↓ 73'
M
8
B. van den Boomen
M
93
H. Belkebla
M
35
P. Peter
⚽ 28' ↓ 80'
F
7
A. Sbai
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Zinga
G
25
A. Bamba
D
9
G. Koyalipou
↑ 80'
F
23
D. Sinate
M
24
E. Biumla
↑ 46'
M
26
F. Hanin
D
6
L. Mouton
↑ 73' 🟨 90+3'
M
36
L. Machine
↑ 89'
F
46
B. Diatta
M
Le Havre 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
99
M. Diaw
G
93
A. Sangante
🟥 75'
D
15
A. Seko
🟨 52'
D
4
G. Lloris
D
13
F. Doucoure
↓ 69'
M
14
R. Ndiaye
↓ 90+1' 🟨 34'
M
19
L. Gourna-Douath
↓ 68'
M
18
Y. Zouaoui
M
17
S. Boufal
⚽ 13' ↓ 80'
F
25
A. Samatta
↓ 68'
F
45
I. Soumare
🎯 13'
F
Substitutes
77
L. Mpasi-Nzau
G
11
G. Kyeremeh
F
8
Y. Kechta
↑ 68'
M
7
L. Nego
↑ 69' 🟨 90+3'
D
32
T. Pembele
↑ 80'
D
26
S. Ebonog
↑ 68'
M
78
D. N. Mosengo
↑ 90+1'
M
20
N. Obougou
F
29
S. Zagadou
D
Last matches: Angers
08.08.26
Fri
Angers
Lorient
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Angers
Le Mans
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Angers
Creteil
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Angers
Les Herbiers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Angers
Strasbourg
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Angers
Auxerre
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Angers
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Angers
Rennes
1
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Angers
Lyon
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Angers
Lens
1
5
L
14.03.26
Lig
Angers
Nice
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Angers
Nantes
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Angers
Monaco
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Angers
Lille
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Angers
Lorient
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Angers
Toulouse
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Angers
Metz
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Angers
Paris FC
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Angers
Marseille
2
5
L
Last matches: Le Havre
08.08.26
Fri
Le Havre
Oviedo
2
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
Le Havre
Ipswich
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Le Havre
Laval
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Le Havre
RED Star FC 93
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Le Havre
Amiens
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lorient
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Le Havre
Marseille
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lille
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Le Havre
Metz
4
4
D
12.04.26
Lig
Le Havre
Nice
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Le Havre
Auxerre
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Le Havre
Paris FC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lyon
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Le Havre
Nantes
0
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Le Havre
Toulouse
2
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Le Havre
Strasbourg
2
1
W
30.01.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lens
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Le Havre
Monaco
0
0
D
H2H: Angers vs Le Havre
18.04.26
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
04.01.26
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
2
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
0
0
D
02.02.25
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
0
1
W
28.07.20
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
3
1
L
20.03.15
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.10.14
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
1
0
L
11.04.14
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
W
08.11.13
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
1
2
W
15.02.13
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
2
1
L
17.09.12
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
3
1
W
18.05.12
H2H
Le Havre
Angers
3
0
L
29.07.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
2
L
05.03.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
0
0
D
Last matches: Angers
08.08.26
Fri
Angers
Lorient
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Angers
Le Mans
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Angers
Creteil
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Angers
Les Herbiers
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Angers
Strasbourg
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Angers
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Angers
Lyon
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Angers
Nice
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Angers
Lille
0
1
L
08.02.26
Lig
Angers
Toulouse
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Angers
Metz
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Angers
Marseille
2
5
L
10.01.26
Cou
Angers
Toulouse
1
1
D
12.12.25
Lig
Angers
Nantes
4
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Angers
Lens
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
Angers
Auxerre
2
0
W
26.10.25
Lig
Angers
Lorient
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
Angers
Monaco
1
1
D
28.09.25
Lig
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
31.08.25
Lig
Angers
Rennes
1
1
D
H2H at home: Angers
18.04.26
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
20.03.15
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
W
11.04.14
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
W
17.09.12
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
3
1
W
29.07.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
2
L
05.03.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
0
0
D
Last matches: Le Havre
08.08.26
Fri
Le Havre
Oviedo
2
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
Le Havre
Ipswich
0
1
L
17.05.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lorient
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lille
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Le Havre
Nice
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Le Havre
Paris FC
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Le Havre
Nantes
0
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Le Havre
Lens
0
1
L
18.01.26
Lig
Le Havre
Rennes
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Le Havre
Lyon
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
02.11.25
Lig
Le Havre
Toulouse
0
0
D
26.10.25
Lig
Le Havre
Auxerre
1
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
Le Havre
Marseille
2
6
L
28.09.25
Lig
Le Havre
Metz
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
Le Havre
Strasbourg
0
1
L
16.08.25
Lig
Le Havre
Monaco
1
3
L
17.05.25
Lig
Le Havre
Strasbourg
3
2
W
04.05.25
Lig
Le Havre
Auxerre
2
1
W
H2H away: Le Havre
18.04.26
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
1
D
20.03.15
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
L
11.04.14
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
0
L
17.09.12
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
3
1
L
29.07.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
1
2
W
05.03.11
H2H
Angers
Le Havre
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Angers 4 missing
-
C. Arcus
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Courcoul
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
H. Djibirin
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Y. Belkhdim
Missing Fixture Arm Injury
OUT
Le Havre 2 missing
-
A. Toure
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Mambimbi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT