16.09.2026 19:00
Lotto Park
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Anderlecht
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
N. Nartey
Lyon
22'
K. Nakamura · Assist: M. Ouedraogo
Lyon
🟨
26'
Moussa Niakhaté
Lyon
🟨
44'
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Lyon
🔄
46'
R. Amane ↔ M. Kana
Anderlecht
🔄
46'
M. Ouedraogo ↔ N. Tagliafico
Lyon
🔄
46'
M. Niakhate ↔ F. Bacher
Lyon
61'
M. Cvetkovic · Assist: A. Maamar
Anderlecht
🔄
65'
L. Openda ↔ P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
74'
T. Aasgaard ↔ T. Bentayeb
Anderlecht
🔄
74'
L. Ambros ↔ D. Sikan
Anderlecht
🔄
74'
T. Morton ↔ C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
74'
N. Nartey ↔ M. Bidstrup
Lyon
🔄
85'
M. Cvetkovic ↔ O. Antman
Anderlecht
🔄
90+2'
L. Augustinsson ↔ N. Ojea
Anderlecht

Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds 2.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
2.98
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Anderlecht Win 66.9%
Draw 3.9%
Lyon Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anderlecht1.43
Lyon1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WWDLW
25 GF / 14 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
3.92
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anderlecht Anderlecht 17 matches
Lyon Lyon 14 matches
Anderlecht Statistic Lyon
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
25 Goals For 27
14 Goals Against 19
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
3.92 Shots On Goal 5.25
10.08 Total Shots 13.88
5.58 Corners 5.38
43.9% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Anderlecht won 0 times, Lyon won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Anderlecht's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Anderlecht 4-4-2 / Lyon 4-3-3
Missing players: Anderlecht 5, Lyon 2
H2H summary: Anderlecht wins 0, draws 0, Lyon wins 1

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11
Lyon Away
1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)