FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Licorne
Referee: R. Landry
Amiens
Match Timeline
Montpellier
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
A. Gueguin · Assist: E. Tchato
Montpellier
🟨
45+3'
Teddy Averlant
Amiens
🔄
64'
E. Molebe ↔ Y. Issoufou
Montpellier
🔄
68'
T. Averlant ↔ C. Louis
Amiens
🔄
68'
N. Kandil ↔ R. Lutin
Amiens
🔄
76'
N. Pays ↔ N. Mbuku
Montpellier
🔄
77'
K. Kaiboue ↔ S. Alvero
Amiens
🔄
77'
A. Lo ↔ S. Bakayoko
Amiens
🔄
77'
A. Gueguin ↔ C. Jullien
Montpellier
🟨
80'
Thomas Monconduit
Amiens
88'
N. Mbuku · Assist: A. Mendy
Montpellier
🟨
90+3'
Amine Chabane
Amiens
🟨
90+5'
Theo Chennahi
Montpellier

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Amiens Win 13.5%
Draw 17.8%
Montpellier Win 68.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amiens1.16
Montpellier1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amiens Amiens
WWDLW
49 GF / 58 GA
Montpellier Montpellier
WLDWL
48 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
19
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
11
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amiens Amiens 36 matches
Montpellier Montpellier 36 matches
Amiens Statistic Montpellier
10 Wins 17
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 11
49 Goals For 48
58 Goals Against 31
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
19 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 11
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.85
9.12 Total Shots 11.5
4.47 Corners 5.15
45.6% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Montpellier's more proactive style and Amiens's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Amiens expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Montpellier in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montpellier having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Montpellier. Amiens have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Montpellier carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 47 points while Amiens sit 18 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Amiens Analysis

With 24 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Amiens still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 34:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Averlant (5 goals), Yvan Ikia Dimi (4 goals), A. Leautey (3 goals), with creative support from Zabi (3 assists), Yvan Ikia Dimi (2 assists), A. Leautey (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Montpellier Analysis

So far, Montpellier have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 47 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Mendy (11 goals), T. Savanier (5 goals), C. Jullien (3 goals), with creative support from N. Mbuku (5 assists), A. Mendy (3 assists), T. Savanier (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Amiens won 0 times, Montpellier won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Amiens's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Amiens 3-4-1-2 / Montpellier 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Amiens wins 0, draws 5, Montpellier wins 5
Stats
Amiens Amiens
Montpellier Montpellier
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 7
16 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 9
9 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 9
9 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Goalkeeper Saves 5
416 Total passes 387
350 Passes accurate 318
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Amiens
Formation
Montpellier
A. Sauvage
A. Sauvage
A. Chabane
A. Chabane
T. Monconduit
T. Monconduit
A. Lo
A. Lo
T. Averlant
T. Averlant
I. Fofana
I. Fofana
K. Kaiboue
K. Kaiboue
A. Leautey
A. Leautey
N. Kandil
N. Kandil
S. Ntamack
S. Ntamack
I. Hamache
I. Hamache
S. Ngapandouetnbu
S. Ngapandouetnbu
E. Tchato
🎯
E. Tchato
J. Laporte
J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga
Y. Mouanga
T. Sainte-Luce
T. Sainte-Luce
T. Chennahi
T. Chennahi
E. Junior Pereira da Silva
E. Junior Pereira da Silva
N. Pays
N. Pays
A. Gueguin
A. Gueguin
E. Molebe
E. Molebe
A. Mendy
🎯
A. Mendy
Amiens 3-4-3
Starting XI
16
A. Sauvage
G
39
A. Chabane
🟨 90+3'
D
6
T. Monconduit
🟨 80'
D
28
A. Lo
↓ 77'
D
11
T. Averlant
↓ 68' 🟨 45+3'
M
45
I. Fofana
M
20
K. Kaiboue
↓ 77'
M
14
A. Leautey
M
10
N. Kandil
↓ 68'
F
90
S. Ntamack
F
7
I. Hamache
F
Substitutes
40
P. Bernardoni
G
44
C. Louis
↑ 68'
D
15
J. Nduquidi
M
80
S. Alvero
↑ 77'
M
34
S. Bakayoko
↑ 77'
D
27
R. Lutin
↑ 68'
M
46
O. Aissat
M
Montpellier 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Ngapandouetnbu
G
29
E. Tchato
🎯 18'
D
15
J. Laporte
D
23
Y. Mouanga
D
17
T. Sainte-Luce
D
44
T. Chennahi
🟨 90+5'
M
77
E. Junior Pereira da Silva
M
18
N. Pays
↓ 76'
M
22
A. Gueguin
⚽ 18' ↓ 77'
M
14
E. Molebe
↓ 64'
M
19
A. Mendy
🎯 88'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Michel
G
6
C. Jullien
↑ 77'
D
7
N. Mbuku
⚽ 88' ↑ 76'
F
8
Y. Issoufou
↑ 64'
F
11
T. Savanier
M
10
K. Fayad
M
21
L. Mincarelli
D
Last matches: Amiens
24.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Boulogne
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Reims
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Quevilly
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Le Havre
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Gobelins
2
4
L
09.05.26
Lig
Amiens
Saint Etienne
0
5
L
02.05.26
Lig
Amiens
RED Star FC 93
1
3
L
17.04.26
Lig
Amiens
Rodez
2
3
L
10.04.26
Lig
Amiens
PAU
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
Amiens
Bastia
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Le Mans
3
4
L
13.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Guingamp
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Boulogne
2
4
L
02.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Estac Troyes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Amiens
Reims
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
Amiens
Dunkerque
1
4
L
09.02.26
Lig
Amiens
Clermont Foot
4
3
W
04.02.26
Cou
Amiens
Toulouse
0
1
L
30.01.26
Lig
Amiens
Grenoble
1
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
Amiens
Laval
0
0
D
Last matches: Montpellier
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
07.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Montpellier
Nice
2
3
L
30.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
3
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
0
1
L
11.01.26
Cou
Montpellier
Metz
4
0
W
H2H: Amiens vs Montpellier
24.04.26
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
0
2
L
29.08.25
H2H
Montpellier
Amiens
1
1
D
06.01.24
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
11.01.20
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
30.11.19
H2H
Montpellier
Amiens
4
2
L
05.05.19
H2H
Montpellier
Amiens
1
1
D
18.08.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
17.01.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
1
D
04.11.17
H2H
Montpellier
Amiens
1
1
D
31.08.11
H2H
Montpellier
Amiens
4
4
D
Last matches: Amiens
24.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Boulogne
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Reims
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Quevilly
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Amiens
Gobelins
2
4
L
02.05.26
Lig
Amiens
RED Star FC 93
1
3
L
10.04.26
Lig
Amiens
PAU
0
1
L
20.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Le Mans
3
4
L
02.03.26
Lig
Amiens
Estac Troyes
0
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Amiens
Dunkerque
1
4
L
09.02.26
Lig
Amiens
Clermont Foot
4
3
W
23.01.26
Lig
Amiens
Laval
0
0
D
03.01.26
Lig
Amiens
Nancy
1
2
L
22.11.25
Lig
Amiens
Guingamp
1
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
Amiens
Grenoble
2
3
L
25.10.25
Lig
Amiens
Rodez
2
1
W
03.10.25
Lig
Amiens
Boulogne
0
1
L
23.09.25
Lig
Amiens
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
12.09.25
Lig
Amiens
Bastia
0
0
D
22.08.25
Lig
Amiens
Annecy
0
1
L
11.08.25
Lig
Amiens
Reims
2
2
D
H2H at home: Amiens
24.04.26
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
0
2
L
06.01.24
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
11.01.20
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
18.08.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
L
17.01.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
1
D
Last matches: Montpellier
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Montpellier
Nice
2
3
L
23.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
0
1
L
11.01.26
Cou
Montpellier
Metz
4
0
W
19.12.25
Cou
Montpellier
Canet Roussillon
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
1
1
D
29.11.25
Cou
Montpellier
Montceau
2
0
W
24.11.25
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
2
L
16.11.25
Cou
Montpellier
Agde
2
0
W
28.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
18.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
1
0
W
15.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
0
1
L
23.08.25
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
H2H away: Montpellier
24.04.26
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
0
2
W
06.01.24
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
W
11.01.20
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
W
18.08.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
2
W
17.01.18
H2H
Amiens
Montpellier
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation