FRANCE LIGUE 2
24.04.2026 18:00
Stade de la Licorne
Referee: R. Landry
Amiens
Match Timeline
Montpellier
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
A. Gueguin · Assist: E. Tchato
Montpellier
🟨
45+3'
Teddy Averlant
Amiens
🔄
64'
E. Molebe ↔ Y. Issoufou
Montpellier
🔄
68'
T. Averlant ↔ C. Louis
Amiens
🔄
68'
N. Kandil ↔ R. Lutin
Amiens
🔄
76'
N. Pays ↔ N. Mbuku
Montpellier
🔄
77'
K. Kaiboue ↔ S. Alvero
Amiens
🔄
77'
A. Lo ↔ S. Bakayoko
Amiens
🔄
77'
A. Gueguin ↔ C. Jullien
Montpellier
🟨
80'
Thomas Monconduit
Amiens
88'
N. Mbuku · Assist: A. Mendy
Montpellier
🟨
90+3'
Amine Chabane
Amiens
🟨
90+5'
Theo Chennahi
Montpellier

Amiens vs Montpellier Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Amiens Win 13.5%
Draw 17.8%
Montpellier Win 68.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amiens1.16
Montpellier1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amiens Amiens
WWDLW
49 GF / 58 GA
Montpellier Montpellier
WLDWL
48 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
19
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
11
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amiens Amiens 36 matches
Montpellier Montpellier 36 matches
Amiens Statistic Montpellier
10 Wins 17
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 11
49 Goals For 48
58 Goals Against 31
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
19 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 11
12 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 11
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.85
9.12 Total Shots 11.5
4.47 Corners 5.15
45.6% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Montpellier's more proactive style and Amiens's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Amiens expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Montpellier in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montpellier having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Montpellier. Amiens have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Montpellier carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 47 points while Amiens sit 18 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Amiens Analysis

With 24 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Amiens still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 34:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Averlant (5 goals), Yvan Ikia Dimi (4 goals), A. Leautey (3 goals), with creative support from Zabi (3 assists), Yvan Ikia Dimi (2 assists), A. Leautey (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Montpellier Analysis

So far, Montpellier have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 47 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Mendy (11 goals), T. Savanier (5 goals), C. Jullien (3 goals), with creative support from N. Mbuku (5 assists), A. Mendy (3 assists), T. Savanier (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Amiens 3-4-1-2 / Montpellier 4-2-3-1

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation