Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- |
Amiens
Montpellier
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Amiens
36 matches
Montpellier
36 matches
| Amiens | Statistic | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 17 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 20 | Losses | 11 |
| 49 | Goals For | 48 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.85 |
| 9.12 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.47 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 45.6% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Montpellier's more proactive style and Amiens's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Amiens expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Montpellier in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Montpellier having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Montpellier. Amiens have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Montpellier carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 47 points while Amiens sit 18 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 24 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Amiens still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 34:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Averlant (5 goals), Yvan Ikia Dimi (4 goals), A. Leautey (3 goals), with creative support from Zabi (3 assists), Yvan Ikia Dimi (2 assists), A. Leautey (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Montpellier have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 47 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Mendy (11 goals), T. Savanier (5 goals), C. Jullien (3 goals), with creative support from N. Mbuku (5 assists), A. Mendy (3 assists), T. Savanier (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Amiens won 0 times, Montpellier won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Amiens's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.
Amiens
5
9
9
5
8
1
Lineups
Amiens
Boulogne
Amiens
Reims
Amiens
Quevilly
Amiens
Le Havre
Amiens
Gobelins
Amiens
Saint Etienne
Amiens
RED Star FC 93
Amiens
Rodez
Amiens
PAU
Amiens
Bastia
Amiens
Le Mans
Amiens
Guingamp
Amiens
Boulogne
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Amiens
Reims
Amiens
Dunkerque
Amiens
Clermont Foot
Amiens
Toulouse
Amiens
Grenoble
Amiens
Laval
Montpellier
Cannes
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
Montpellier
Aubagne
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
Grenoble
Montpellier
Annecy
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
PAU
Montpellier
Laval
Montpellier
Nancy
Montpellier
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Montpellier
Le Mans
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Nice
Montpellier
Guingamp
Montpellier
Bastia
Montpellier
Boulogne
Montpellier
Metz
Amiens
Boulogne
Amiens
Reims
Amiens
Quevilly
Amiens
Gobelins
Amiens
RED Star FC 93
Amiens
PAU
Amiens
Le Mans
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Amiens
Dunkerque
Amiens
Clermont Foot
Amiens
Laval
Amiens
Nancy
Amiens
Guingamp
Amiens
Grenoble
Amiens
Rodez
Amiens
Boulogne
Amiens
Saint Etienne
Amiens
Bastia
Amiens
Annecy
Amiens
Reims
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
Annecy
Montpellier
PAU
Montpellier
Nancy
Montpellier
Rodez
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Nice
Montpellier
Bastia
Montpellier
Boulogne
Montpellier
Metz
Montpellier
Canet Roussillon
Montpellier
Grenoble
Montpellier
Montceau
Montpellier
Reims
Montpellier
Agde
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
Dunkerque
Montpellier
Laval
Montpellier
Guingamp
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 67 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 19 | 62 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 21 | 60 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 58 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 6 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Montpellier
Away
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | -14 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 43 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | -15 | 36 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Amiens
Home
|
34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | -28 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|