BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena das Dunas
America-RN
Match Timeline
Laguna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Alisson Taddei
America-RN
50'
Guilherme Paraiba
America-RN
68'
Luiz Thiago
America-RN
71'
Matheus Regis
America-RN
78'
Pedro Jorge
America-RN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
America-RN Win 100%
Draw 0%
Laguna Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
America-RN1.18
Laguna0.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
America-RN America-RN
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Laguna Laguna
WLDWL
1 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.17
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America-RN America-RN 7 matches
Laguna Laguna 6 matches
America-RN Statistic Laguna
3 Wins 0
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 5
6 Goals For 1
3 Goals Against 10
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.17
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around America-RN's more proactive style and Laguna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Laguna. Laguna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America-RN arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 11 points compared to Laguna in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Laguna having the stronger overall control.

America-RN Analysis

America-RN arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 11 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 5:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Alisson Taddei (1 goals), Cassiano (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Laguna Analysis

Laguna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 1 points from 6 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 1:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, America-RN won 3 times, Laguna won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:1 from America-RN's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: America-RN wins 3, draws 1, Laguna wins 0
Last matches: America-RN
19.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Gama
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
Last matches: Laguna
14.06.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Laguna
America-RN
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
1
D
H2H: America-RN vs Laguna
17.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Laguna
America-RN
0
1
W
18.01.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
4
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
0
0
D
Last matches: America-RN
19.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Gama
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
16.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
3
2
W
01.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
3
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
4
0
W
H2H at home: America-RN
17.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
18.01.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
4
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
0
0
D
Last matches: Laguna
14.06.26
Ser
Laguna
Central SC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Laguna
Sousa
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Laguna
Maguary PE
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Laguna
ABC
0
4
L
H2H away: Laguna
17.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
L
18.01.26
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
4
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
America-RN
Laguna
0
0
D

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)