BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena das Dunas
America-RN
Match Timeline
ABC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Wellington Carvalho
ABC
13'
Paulinho
America-RN
48'
Wallyson
ABC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 63%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
63%
-
Probability Distribution
America-RN Win 72.9%
Draw 27.1%
ABC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
America-RN1.4
ABC1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
America-RN America-RN
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
ABC ABC
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America-RN America-RN 3 matches
ABC ABC 2 matches
America-RN Statistic ABC
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
4 Goals For 4
1 Goals Against 3
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 0
2 Over 1.5 2
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ABC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ABC having the stronger overall control. America-RN arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 6 points compared to ABC in 4 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

America-RN Analysis

America-RN come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 6 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alisson Taddei (1 goals), Cassiano (1 goals), Lucas Rodrigues (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

ABC Analysis

ABC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 3 points from 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 4:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Igor Bahia (2 goals), Joao Pedro (1 goals), Luiz Fernando (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America-RN won 4 times, ABC won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from America-RN's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: America-RN wins 4, draws 8, ABC wins 3
Last matches: America-RN
19.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Gama
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
Last matches: ABC
18.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
H2H: America-RN vs ABC
24.05.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
22.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
07.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
3
L
21.03.26
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
24.01.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
1
W
22.03.25
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
ABC
America-RN
1
0
L
20.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
17.05.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
0
D
10.05.23
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
W
20.04.23
H2H
ABC
America-RN
0
3
W
Last matches: America-RN
19.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Gama
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
16.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
3
2
W
01.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
3
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
4
0
W
H2H at home: America-RN
22.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
07.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
3
L
18.03.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
24.01.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
22.03.25
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
20.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
10.05.23
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
W
Last matches: ABC
18.07.26
Ser
ABC
Luverdense
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
ABC
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
H2H away: ABC
22.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
2
W
07.04.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
3
W
18.03.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
24.01.26
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
22.03.25
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
20.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
America-RN
ABC
0
0
D
10.05.23
H2H
America-RN
ABC
1
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Away
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)